Sunday, November 13, 2011

Mumbai 13-11-11

Start of the Mumbai season the first 5 races will make or break you as small field indicates that pace and tactics will come in play and jockey merit and experience will reflect on the results, the last two are best to go slow on anyways.Good Luck


Race 1: On Paper Frost Fairy, cant lose but stranger things have happened.If there is a danger it will be from

Tips: Frost Fairy,             Upset: Smart Hunter,

Race 2: Dancing Glances, Oceanic Wisdom, toss up jockeys skills will prevail.

Race 3: Mountain Treasure, and Adams Vision, toss up former has a slight edge

Race 4: Interesting to see Pesi has opted to run Smashing, in a handicap race class 3 and scratched her from the million race. Looks like a educational run over 7 flg before she runs the fillies trial stakes a clear indication that the connections are not sure of her staying ability she should win here but I am not convinced that she will have a walkover. Golden Heart, will relish the long Mumbai straight and should finish ahead of the rest and the likely upset.
Tips:Smashing, Upset Golden Heart,

Race 5: Will be a very interesting race all 5 with a fair chance on paper Our Chieftain, should win but am not sure of the jockeys ability in the long Mumbai straight.Ranthambhore, is a smart galloper and tracking very well but the being a unsound horse and the hard mumbai track will test him.Lake Superior, has an advantage of a good jockey and the horse does like this track. Lack of trackwork has put me off Out Of My Way, . Ishpingo, will do very well in the long mumbai stretch and should finish in the top 2.

Tips:Lake Superior, Upset:Ishpingo,

Race 6: Bad race from a punting prospective look for value or leave the race.the faith of both fancied runners Atlantic Star, and Lady Genereuse, will be decided in the ring the latter is better.From the rest horses 4-7-9-10-11 should be tried Bemisaal, is running after a long layoff which is strange for N Lagad horse its clear he has some issues so difficult to bet on, Adams Prince, won a race in Jan when he was rated 16 today after 11 months his rating has dropped to 8 which indicates he is in striking range.Sizzling Love, has finished within avge 7lths behind the winner in his last 6 starts today has a good jockey and recent spurt suggest intent will be finishing on and should be the one to beat.Free For All, will like the stretch run is a good candidate for a gamble today and if money comes his way which is very likely he will win don't worry about the jockey.

Tips: Sizzling Love,Lady Genereuse,             Upset: Free For All,

Race 7: Pride Of The Hills, is tracking very well and will give Rule Forever, something to worry about.Rebecca, will benefit in the long stretch run and will be right there.Scintillating Star, runs best when she is fresh ignore her last run in pune as he will be the horse that will finish on board and can upset on Jockey merit.
Tips: Rule Forever,Rebecca,            Upset: Scintillating Star,

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