Sunday, December 23, 2012

Mumbai 23-12-12

Race 1: VB Race Be Cool, with a better rider has a good chance but is a H Metha horse so best to avoid.Nanina, needs another chance has the potential to win here. Auraria, and Victorious Cause, are both speedy horses and can upset here the second named is better.

Tips: Nanina,Victorious Cause,
.
Race 2: Romantic Beauty, is the only winner in the set and should be the one to beat. Bonobo,  and Flight To Freedom, can upset here but bet to avoid the race.

Tips: Flight To Freedom

Race 3: Divine Inspiration, last run was very bad with R Hughes may run a better race but at the end of the day she was beaten by TARA a 7yr old and I cant tip her on that basis best to avoid if she wins then good luck. Il Moran, has been prepared very well and is running in handicap company for the first time should be the one to beat.Ice Beauty, first run so hard to say but owner mates Mountain Warrior, has a decent handicap and should be in the fray can upset.Soli Deo Gloria, is one of the most under rated animal in this set as she belongs to a gamble connection if she is tried here she will win.

Tips: Il Moran,Soli Deo Gloria                Upset: Mountain Warrior

Race 4: Clinton, was an impressive winner last time and has to beat Angel Crown, who will be making all the pace today to win here.

Race 5: Centrestage, has the class but its difficult to judge her condition as she has not tracked for a long time. There are horses here that can take advantage of that H Metha and his connections have 4 horses here which can dictate the running of the race although she has the best jockey on her it wont be easy best to halve your bets or leave the race.Golden Memory, at this handicap and the much improved Barringo, can upset her.

Tips: Centrestage,              Upset: Golden Memory,

Race 6: Amistad,is tracking well enough to make a winning debut but being a 2yos race its best to avoid.Phelps, is a speedy type and can upset.

Tips: Amistad,                   Upset: Phelps,

Race 7: A wide open race and it will pay to look for a value eachway bet. The horses that represent value are Bongani,Reckless Romeo and Follow Me, the first and the last named are unsound animals but are of a better class then this set. the last named is at a decent handicap and well drawn should be the one to beat, the first named is improving with every run and can upset.The second named has beaten some decent animals when tried and is a gamble horse.Spare a thought for 

Tips: Follow MeBongani,                   Upset: Reckless Romeo
Race 8: THE NAKSHATRA INDIAN 2000 GUINEAS (GR.1)
One of the best fields I have seen in a long time the fact that 18 horses are running it will make it very interesting as luck and jockey skills will matter and not the class of the horse.

1) Amazing Desire,: A decent handicapper who is improving with every run just lack that class and the wide draw won do any favors however keeping in mind that the horse has a good turn of foot he will run a good race if the inform Suraj stays out of trouble winning looks difficult but can place if everything goes his way.
2)  An Acquired Taste, Sad to see such a nice animal heading in the opposite direction his track work is decent and the jockey is a perfect choice will run a brave race if all goes well but not today will be pleasant surprise if he wins.I do give him a good chance
3) Ascot Magic,: Lost last start thanks to the overconfidence of the jockey, I have always thought highly of this horse has a very good turn of foot and a very good galloper. Prakash is a man for big races and knows this track well enough. Keep in mind he would have taken a ride on any of the horses but picked this one the draw and field wont matter I think the horse is good enough and if there is a upset here is one.
4)Bizarro,: Decent animal but running against some far superior animals.Not here.
5) Blue Ace,: Ran a very good race after being gelded for the first time will improve a lot after that run, has the right jockey who will make the most of hi initial speed and he will be in the fight till the end but a mile being the optimum trip and the long mumbai straight can make it difficult for him can finish on board 
6) Commander, : Needs no introduction a good animal who will love the long stretch run in mumbai has the right jockey to guide his fortunes but being a mile and lack of initial speed i reserve my opinion on him winning here can place.
7) Franklin,: A impressive winner on debut has the jockey who will get the best of of him is probably a good chance for a repeat but it will not be a easy task as he is running with some genuine and classy horses should be in the top 4.
8) Hachiko, : back to his winning ways is tracking extremely well after a impressive win against Neona. Good draw and a good jockey will be right there and can win if all goes well.
9) Hemisphere,: Impressive winner in pune followed by a good mock race in mumbai the wide draw will help this horse who has a good turn of foot and suits the jockeys style who is a forceful finisher can upset if he has the class.
10) Ice Pick, Not here
11) Ice Zone, Will like the step up in distance but lacks that class.
12) Macedonian, Will only run
13) Machiavellianism,: Has done nothing wrong so far was beaten fair in his last run but if ridden of the pace today will be finishing on and should make a impact however keep in mind he did not relish this track last year so its hard to say.
14) Manyatta,: I personally feel she will go well over this trip but lacks that class
15) Montezuma,: Was a impressive winner last time thanks to a fantastic ride by prakash todays draw will affect that magic jockey will make the difference again but I prefer others.
16) Shivalik Hero,Without a doubt one of the best horse in this set luck has always evaded him  and toadys inside draw and the jockey has really disappointing so far it is difficult to pick him on that basis. If only the jockey could do justice he will break the jinks.
17) Silver Birch, Drawn 18 will help him settle of the pace and can make a race of it if Zervan doesn't panic.
18) Sumo,: Improving with every run will be making all the running and try and make every post a winning one lack that class but his heart makes up for it don't be surprised if he places.

Its difficult to pick a winner here but Pesi does have the best of the lot.

Tips:  Franklin,Hemisphere, Ascot Magic          Upset:Blue Ace,

Race 9: Open race horses 3-5-6-9 shoud fight it out Stella, is on a good handicap and can win here if tried. Zeki, is the dark horse that can upset should place.

Tips: Stella,Sheer Romance,        Upset: Zeki,

Race 10) Winston, should manage to peat either New World, or Sophisticated, here the last named will test him.

Tips: Sophisticated,


Eachway or place prospects: Nanina,Follow MeBongani, Reckless RomeoStella,Hemisphere, Ascot Magic  
Bolt from the blue: Zeki,Blue Ace,


3 comments:

isr said...

Thanks for your post. The anxiety level has come down.

Anonymous said...

Y all these hopeless tips

danish said...

missed the jackpot. did not include sheer romance.









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