Saturday, January 26, 2013

Bangalore 26-01-2013

A very good and competetive card today I personally feel Jockey Valdir De Sousa  can make or break your day as he has the best runners who are all well prepared to win keeping in mind he is a jockey who is involved in big gambles watch the flow of money on his horses. Sharat Kumar also has very well placed runners but once again gamble connection so follow the market trend on his horses.Happy Republic day everyone .

Race 1 : Interesting race on paper Fire Storm, and Assurance, should fight it out the second named is slightly better.Many Wishes, who is a unsound animal but is far superior in this set can upset or place at worst if all goes well note.

Tips: Assurance,                 Upset: Many Wishes,

Race 2: Many first timers so hard to say but Noble Path, will run a good race and can surprise.

Race 3: Union Jack, has a slight advantage on handicap here should be the one to beat.Market Maker, is the dark horse here has recently changed ownership is a better horse then what form suggest if tried can upset.

Tips: Union Jack,            Upset: Market Maker,

Race 4: There will be a gamble on Flying Tricolour, in this race the name say it all plus the positive change in jockey and equipment should be the one to beat if I am right. From the rest its a very open field but Sutton Prince, and Thrillseeker, who was a winner of this race last year do come into contention the first named is a good animal and will be the one to beat.

Tips:Sutton Prince, Flying Tricolour,         Upset: Thrillseeker

Race 5: A wide open race and the terms are in favor of Sovetskaya, and Sprint Star, plus the fact that Ridgeway, and Severstahl, are not sound but can win if they are back to their fitness can change things. however there are a few horses here that have improved a lot or hiding true form they are HillfigerMagnitude Star, and Midtown Magic, the first and last named were considered classic in there era and both had set back but are now out of it and should fight for their former glory.In my opinion the the first named has improved a lot and has been prepared for this race and should be the one to beat.The second named finished an un extended 5th 3.5 lengths behind Toroloco in his last run is ready for a strike and can upset if the first named fails to win.

Tips: Hillfiger,Midtown Magic,                Upset: Magnitude Star,

Race 6: THE KIMMANE BANGALORE DERBY (GR.1)
Interesting race to say the least with 8 runners 3 late entries 6 horses will get prize money and no pacemaker with the highest rating of 102 and lowest of 58. If you go by rating only and close your book the handicapper suggest Super Storm, should win by a minimum of 6 lengths but when it comes to classics its amazing how Rating has no relevance.

1) Athletic Star, : Bred for speed the trip is a long one and doesnot have the class to cause a upset is running because he was entered in this race and can pick up some prize money if he finishes 6th or higher.
2) Maths Baby,: An impressive galloper that just does not seem to stay in this field he can run a good race due to lack of company and can finish in the top 3.
3) Red Baron,: A genuine stayer and a genuine class One animal who likes the fast pace if the pace is fast then he will be in contention has the merit to upset anyone.
4) Shivalik Fire,: Sparingly raced horse who should be reaching in the highest class over time however will have to be a very good animal to beat some of the top contenders here should finish in the frame win looks difficult.
5) Super Storm,:The One to beat.
6) Jersey Girl, : Probably dint like the slow pace in the oaks and was caught napping but her staying the trip is a ??
7) Snow Bird, : Impressive winner of the oaks and was given a very good ride but today there are horses that are better then her including her stablemate.
8) State Secret,: This is a horse that you can throw the handicapping theory away she is rated 69 as compared to 85 for snowbird which is 16 points which equates to 8 kgs or over 12flg is it means Snow bird is 16-18 lengths superior to her at this distance but she only finished 7.5 lengths behind her in the oak after losing 8-10 lengths at the start so on paper she is a better animal then her and should be rated higher.Her preparation is different from the rest had a easy run first up then lost her chances at the gates in the oaks. If you look at her form in bangalore summer she beat Cecil 4 lengths and then Cecil won 4 races and is now rated 103 which is higher then Super Storm who is rated 102 and going by that Theory she is a shade better then the favorite and is she takes a level jump she will win the Bangalore derby will be a toss up between the two and I give her a slight edge.

Tips:State Secret,Super Storm,

Race 7: This is a wide open race with many chances I would have said Atlas Power, but have given up on the trainers intent.However this is tough company and its best to avoid or look for a value eachway bet.Horses that are value for money are Radical Attraction,PanameraSussex Downs, and the bottom weighted Supremacy

Tips: Radical Attraction,Panamera, Upset: Sussex Downs

Race 8: Another wide open race Prince Of Darkness,Attractive Bay,Arabian King, are my shortlisted 3. the first named is a improved animal and the last named is a danger to them all had a good lung opener last time will be trying run them off their feet today.Endurance, is the joker in the pack the jockey is hopeless but the horse is good enough dont ignore for minor combinations.

Tips: Prince Of Darkness,Attractive Bay,        Upset: Arabian King, (note)

Race 9: MystereSix Shooter, and Cowboy Cal, are my shortlisted 3 in the last day of the day.

Tips:  MystereSix Shooter, Upset Cowboy Cal




4 comments:

Anonymous said...

hello sir,
which is your days best??

Anonymous said...

Dear GM,

Your advice came in a little too late as I had already backed Che guevara. However, that's useful information, thank you. Due to work I couldn't stay for rest of the races, which was very unfortunate as many of your tips won or placed at lucrative odds.

You have a great day today.

Regards,
POS

Anonymous said...

Sir pls post ur days best

Anonymous said...

thanx I really appreciate ur hard work and thanx for todays selection and please give me ur selection for hyderbad derby.

Knock Knock


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