Mumbai 11-12-2011

Race 1: I am a bit surprised to see Rancho, at theses odds. The first run the horse dint have a clue what he had to do is one paced and looked very immature, has been given a lot of work outs to get hem ready for this race can win but is not outstanding not worth a bet Under even money. Horses 1-5-6-9-10 have a fair chance of beating the favorite here.Carlyle Hills, is fit and well placed on handicap,Light My Way, and Vincero, are different class animals both coming back after a setback the first named was wieghing abt 50kgs more then his normal racing wieght will be stripped fitter and the second named ran a good race after making come back after a year last spurt was good and its up to the trainer on which horse he will try as he holds the key to a upset here.Cogito Ergo Sum, is nothing special but has been tracking very well should be right there.

Tips: Cogito Ergo Sum,Carlyle Hills,  Rancho,     Upset: Vincero,

Race 2: If Stromboli, has come to hand she should win but Snow Blaze, will keep her honest runs well when there are no false rails and should be right there today.

Tips:Stromboli,                                Upset: Snow Blaze,

Race 3:First timers so hard to say  Angels Quest, has a benifit of a good run and some nice track work to follow will be the one to beat, from the first timers horses 2-4-7-9 are tracking very well Secret Weapon, looks a smart animal but a late foal will be right there. Victorious March,  is an early foal and been tracking well will be right there can win.Make note of Mighty Splendor, who is well bred and best on track dont worry about the jockey if there is intent which is likely he will win.

Tips:Angels Quest,  Victorious March,                  Upset: Mighty Splendor,

Race 4: A Very open and interesting race but horses 3-5-6-8-9-10-11 will dominate the finish. Brave Gypsy, Visionaire, and Last Tango, are gamble horses and if money comes on them they will perform the first named has a good jockey but not a genuine gamble horse, the second named has merit but the flow of money will be the deciding factor is tracking well but has not won a race since feb 2010.the last named is well placed on handicap but track work suggest fitness issues.Sizzling Love, won well and has a good jockey but the terms dont favor him, Divine, is a H Metha reject now the trainer has to pay for his upkeep and as evident with other reject horses of the same owner its evident he is trying then to win some stakes money his last spurt suggest he will be hitting the front which best suits him and if tried he will be right thereBonny Light, has merit but the wide draw wont help her chances as she like the rails.Ibis, is a horse that can win here today and if trackwork reflects form young trevor will do the rest is worth a good eachway bet.

Tips:(note) Ibis,Visionaire,                Upset: Divine,

Race 5: Blackjack, is a nice animal but not the fittest plus I have lost faith in the trainers ability hence I cant see a lot of improvement in her can win but not out standing.Royal Highness, and Venus Rosewater, are out handicapped.Star Warrior, is a horse who can redeem himself today has been well prepared by Antia who as we all know will send his horse out in the best condition when he wants them to win,Moon Flower, ran a very good race last time was beaten by some classy animals and is the danger to all.Scarface, does not need a introduction but the jockey who is not the best judge of pace will do the horse no favors.

Tips: Star Warrior,               Upset: Moon Flower,

Race 6: Very Open race and the best horse on the day will win lukc will aslo play a major role. Star Future, first run is his best run and placed well on handicap he will be the horse to beat. Attila, is tracking very well is the best performed horse on this track and has a fair chance with the jockey. Star Trainer, can not be discounted as an upset will be right there.

Tips: Star Future,Attila,                     Upset :Star Trainer,

Race 7: THE RADIO MIRCHI INDIAN 1000 GUINEAS (GR.1)(3 YEARS OLD ONLY (F))

1) Alma Mater, Have to admit that I dint have a big opinion on the filly but when she won her second race in a good company my opinion has totally changed as she is horse that has a lot of accelaration and has still got room to improve. Prakash in my opinion would konw all the fancied runners as he has worked them all and has been handed a very good animal with a very good chance.The with draw is the only negetive but for a horse that has a good temprament it can overcome it.

2) Black Magic Woman,: She won well first up and will stay a mile is a nice type who will run a great race but Ladjadj Stephane who knows her well has opted for her stablemate tell a lot but she will be right there.

3 )  Botswana, Just could not catch up the tiring St Catz. Ha come up a lot since then, is the owners fist choice as per the jockey declared but there are better horses here will be in the fray can place but win is a bit difficult to see.

4) Capriole, lacks class but will run a fair race.

5) Class Apart,: Lacks class

6) Haunting Fantasy, : Ran a good race first up but the slow pace suited her today with a fast pace her chances of staying the trip are limited.

7 ) Hills And Stars,: Best of the Whadwans is a very talanted animal. No problems with distance and fitness won the derby because she was the best stayer of the lot will be in the fighting line but being a mile will have to be a very good horse to win.

8) Indomitable, 200-1

9) Lake Paradise, I do think very highly of the horse but her dislike of the whip doesnot do her any favors however it is important to understand she will be coming off the pace and if she has the class will be in the fray may place her.

10) Queens Kiss, : If she wins in this set Lagad will be suspended for a long time.

11) Rebecca, : was very impressive and looking at the manner of victory she will stay the mile negetive is she is running in a span of 7 days but if there is a upset at big odds she will be the one.

12) Romantique, She is one of the more interesting horses in the race but her mock race indicated he lacks the initial speed to be up with the pack hence loses her chances current track suggest she has been given some good speed tracks and she can run a good race but she needs more distance will run the oaks in a different light in similar company.

13) Smashing,: without doubt the most talked about horse since Set Alight. has a decent jockey aboard but this will be her test of stamina not class.She won well beating a tiring Esmeraldo with the last flg run in 12.8 secs whis is very average. she won the race on class and not on stamina I just dont think the class vs stamina performance will do her favor against some classy horses Pesi has raced her away from good horses and tracked her for the mile but she will have to be at her best in this set which i doubt Great horse but does not have the full package. I would like her to win but I am not holding my hopes.

14) St Catz,: Talanted horse, will stay but the jockey and the wide draw will not do her any favors and as I have said earlier ownermates horse is better in that terms. but if the jockey can settle her early shae will be right there.

15 ) Vittoria, : Systamaticly Prepared, Un beaten, Good jockey, no problems staying average draw but out of form trainer. Over all she will be the to 3 has a great heart and a fantastic temprement which are important factors to win big races.

In big races I look for things like Class, temprament, potential and Jockey and a little bit of luck on that basis Alma Mater, is my first pick to beat Vittoria, and Black Magic Woman, with Rebecca, thrown in for a good surprise.

Tips: Alma Mater,Vittoria,Black Magic Woman,               Upset :Rebecca,

Race 8: Scarlet Pimpernel, should win from Prince Of Troy,


Days best: Alma Mater,
Double: Alma Mater, Scarlet Pimpernel,
Kaichi or win bets: Alma Mater, Scarlet Pimpernel,Star Warrior,Stromboli,
Eachway or place bets: Cogito Ergo Sum,Snow Blaze,Ibis,Star Future,Rebecca, Prince Of Troy, Victorious March,

Bolt from the blue: Mighty Splendor,