Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Sunday, May 27, 2012

Bangalore 27 May 2012

Race 1: First Timers so best to leave alone.Courage In Red, is well bred,  Balance Of Nature, is tracking well and can upset. Mulligan, is the dark horse if tried note.

Race 2: If ridden on merit Top Secret, should have no trouble in beating this set the horse needs a strong rider and hopfully justice can be done. Make note of Indravati, who loves this going and if the intent is right will cause a upset.

Tips:1) Top Secret    Upset: 6) Indravati,

Race 3: If track work reflects form then Sam's Pride, should be hard to beat. Macedonian, is also tracking well but the former looks better. Mastery is the joker in the pack but the strange choice of jockey is a worry however he will run a good race.

Tips : 6) Sam's Pride, 4) Macedonian,               Upset: Mastery,(note)


Race 4: First Timers so best to leave alone. Chase The Sun, seems to be in a forward condition and do well Allendale, and Ultimate Desire, should run well too.

Race 5: The 3 Hyderabad contenders are the top 3 horses here provided Grand Success, is not in a galloping mood.

Tips: 2) Winning Tactics,         Upset: 1) Grand Success,

Race 6: At this handicap Portia, and State Secret, are the ones to beat. Cirque Du Soleil, has improved a lot as evident by track work and will be right there.

Tips ; 9) Portia, 3) Cirque Du Soleil,                Upset: 10) State Secret,

Race 7: Very Open race but if Right On Time, is tried here he will be hard to catche note. Yourewindsofchange, is the joker in the pack.

Tips: 6) Right On Time,            Upset: 4) Yourewindsofchange,


Race 8:  Preordained, has merit but is running after a long lay off hence best to avoid, Show Time, and Still Will, will run good races the first named has a good chance is the jockey handles the wide draw and the second named runs best when fresh and likes these conditions can upset if fit.

Tips: 2) Still Will,1)  Show Time,

Race 9: Lack of interested horses leaves the race between  Diamond Flame, and Sabala, the latter has a slight edge.

Tips: 12 Sabala,

Days Best: Portia,
Double: Portia,Sabala,
Kaichi: Portia,Sabala,Top Secret
Eachway or Place bets: Right On Time, Still Will,
Bolt from the Blue: Mastery

Saturday, May 26, 2012

Bangalore 26 May 2012

Race 1: With no evident form and many without track work its hard to decide however Market Maker, and Igah Igah Igah, are tracking well hence have a slight edge over the rest but its best to leave the race.

Tips; 4)Market Maker,  Upset: 7) Igah Igah Igah,

Race 2: Silver Birch, should win here as there doesnot seem to be much interest in the race however make note when Pesi runs his horses in a handicap race first up is a good indicator that he is testing the animals potential as he is not sure.

Tips: 1) Silver Birch,

Race 3: A Gamble race best to decide at race time. Horses 1-2-4-6-11 have a fair chance if tried. Make note of  Hiphip Hurry,ex Thundering Don here he has a very good weight advantage and being a speedy horse can cause a upset here is the intent is there.

Tips: 11)Hiphip Hurry,Vega,

Race 4: If fit Thejaguar, will be hard to beat.

Tips: 9) Thejaguar,5)Biutiful,

Race 5: Looks Like a toss up between Ridgeway, Toroloco,and Midtown Magic. The first two will go close with the former having a slight edge.

Tips : 4) Ridgeway,

Race 6 ; Vijays Pride, seems to be a nice animal and will be the one to beat.Turf Lightning, and Decorated, will keep her honest.

Tips: 11)Vijays Pride,          Upset: 7 Decorated,

Race 7: Very open race but they all have to catch Impressive Bolt, today. the horse has experience and last spurt suggest he is ready to strike.Make note of Cheque Discounter, who is blazing the track and will be right there and can upset.

Tips:1) Impressive Bolt,           Upset: 8)Cheque Discounter,(note)

Race 8: Sheer lack of participants gives Caraway, a very good chance.

Tips: 3) Caraway,           Upset: Sanfrancisco Girl,

Sunday, May 20, 2012

Bangalore Day2 20-05-2012

118 Runner- 38 contenders will pay to go slow or look for value.




Race 1: Horses 1-2-5-8 should dominate the finish here Auburn Beauty, and One From A Billion, are running a handicap race for the first time and if they are any good they should dominate this VB contest. The First named looks better as is tracking well. Badri, and Savvy Concept, can upset but intent is unknown.

Tips: 1) Auburn Beauty,                Upset: 8) Badri,

Race 2 : Horses 1-3-4-11 have a fair chance here and look the likely contenders.Hillstone, has the right credentials but the jockey skill can be the un doing,Indian Pride, has the right jockey and can create some trouble here.Black Beauty, is the joker in the pack intent is not known but can place if in the money.

Tips: 11) Indian Pride,            Upset: 4) Black Beauty,

Race 3: Best to leave this race alone as horses here are of unknown potential and a lot of improvement can be expected since last run.Many Wishes, is tracking well and can upset if tried.

Tips: 10) Many Wishes,7)Fire Storm,

Race 4: Effectual, is back in handicap races but the drop down in distance wont help. Horses 1-3-4-8 have been tracking well and will keep him honest. Red Bolt, loves these conditions and will keep them honest.

Tips: 3) Red Bolt,1)Adonis,

Race 5:On Paper Looks like a straight fight between Spaniard, and Meghalaya, both are nice types and tracking very well however keep in mind Weight can stop a train and since there are many horses receiving about 8+ kgs from them a upset cant be ruled out.Lucky Sam,Simply Stylish, and Storm The Field, enjoy that distinct advantage the first named is running for the first time after being gelded, the last named has a negative change in Shoe however has a positive jockey and the second named has not been ridden on merit so far can make a difference today.

Tips: 1) Spaniard,              Upset: 10) Simply Stylish

Race 6: Horses 5-8-12 should dominate the finish here.Capote, and Free Law, are closely matched the second named is better but first run after being gelded is a worry.

Tips: 12) Capote, 8) Free Law,

Race 7: A Very Open race and many horses can win here and luck of the race will play a major part.Black Magic Woman, has a major draw disadvantage hence avoidable,Sovetskaya, has everything in his favor but is contending against some very good horses and will need to be at her best to win. Bold Police,  was impressive winner but luck was on his side today the jockey is good but is he carrying his old form is a ?? My top 4 are Spearhead,String Along,Successor, and Firezone, the first and last named love these conditions the second named is best suited by the trip and the third named has the best credentials and if the jockey can do justice for the inside draw he can win.

Tips:3) Spearhead,(note) 8)Successor,               Upset  4) String Along,


Race 8: Panamera, is very sparingly raced but a good animal is she is fit she should win. Sunday Storm, will not make it easy.

Tips: 10) Panamera, 7) Sunday Storm,

Race 9: The First Bullet, Cool Whistle,and Nectar Crown, are my top 3 pick here. Make note if ridden on merit the first named will be hard to beat. the second named has a good place chance and the last named can spring a surprise if the first 2 are not tried which is unlikely.

8: The First Bullet,                         Upset: 1) Cool Whistle,

Race 10: If Fit Maddox, has the class to win here.African Queen, and Arabian Gold, should run close at this handicap.

Tips: 2) Maddox,         Upset: 12) African Queen,


Days Best: The First Bullet, 
Win or kaichi Prospects: The First Bullet, Panamera,Maddox,Capote,
Eachway or Place Bets:Badri, Spearhead,Cool Whistle,
Upset: Many Wishes,

Saturday, May 19, 2012

Bangalore 1st Day 19th May 2012

First Day 117 runners, about 40 contenders and 77 pretenders chose wisely.


Race 1: With not many contenders the race looks limited to horses 2-7-12. Cecil, Is well bred and was impressive on debut looks a horse with a decent future,Will Star, is speedy and tracking well however the other 2 look better animals, Motivating, is Bred for speed and looks well prepared and the one to beat. This race is best left alone for betting purposes.

Tips: 12) Motivating, 2)Cecil,

Race 2: VB race so best to decide in the ring however horses 2-8-11-12 should be tried here. Quick Silver, and Loving Fantasy, are tracking well and can Upset.


Tips: 12)Quick Silver,  11)Loving Fantasy,

Race 3: Own Asset, is a nice animal but the step up in distance will benefit Amazon Bay, who is in a forward condition and can beat the former. make note of Triple Victory, for minor bets can place at good odds.

Tips: 5) Amazon Bay,  4)  Own Asset,              Upset:8) Triple Victory,(Place)

Race 4: Bad race best to avoid or decide at race time.Horses 2-3-4-12 have a chance if tried.

Tips: 12) Benedict,4) Surprisesucceeding,

Race 5: Open race but Claara, and Brilliance, should dominate the finish. The first named will be a genuine trier however has to beat Brilliance, who loves this going and runs best when fresh.Independence Day,  is the joker in the pack is tracking very well but intent is unknown.

Tips: 6) Brilliance, 12) Claara,               Upset: 7) Independence Day,

Race 6: Quick Enough, if tried is good enough to win.Eastern Summit, is on a good handicap and the likely Upset.

Tips: 2) Quick Enough,                   Upset:12 Eastern Summit,

Race 7: Jersey Girl, should be hard to toss par wrong intent. Castro, is the joker in the pack.

Tips: 10) Jersey Girl,                   Upset: 12) Castro,

Race 8: Very Open race with at least 7 horses in with a fair chance. Horses 1-4-9-11 are my top 4 however it can go anyway.My First choice is on Jockey merit.

Tips: 4)  Absolut Grey, 11) Salsa Touch,                  Upset: Bounty Hunter,

Race 9: Shotgunn, Smile All The Way, Silken Touch, are my top 3 picks in this otherwise open race.
The first and third named are the ones who love this going and the second named is in rousing form. Jockey talent will decide the outcome and whoever wins has to beat the first named.

Tips:10) Smile All The Way,5) Silken Touch,           Upset:4) Shotgunn, (Note)

Race 10: Cocktail Circuit, is tracking well and at this handicap will be hard to toss. Maths Baby, is the danger and the jockey quality is unknown so its hard to say. Red Admiral, is the joker in the pack can place at good odds.

Tips: 10) Cocktail Circuit, 3) Maths Baby,               Upset: Red Admiral,

Days Best: Cocktail Circuit,
Upset: Shotgunn,

Monday, May 7, 2012

Something to Help people understanding the Principals of Horse racing


Horse Racing Handicapping

Horse Racing Handicapping - Handicapping Fundamentals Overview
by Kenneth Strong of Predictem.com

Horse racing handicapping involves analyzing the Daily Racing Form Past Performances of all the horses in a race, separating the contenders from the pretenders, and making a final decision on which horse you think is most likely to win the race.

Sometimes you can easily determine the winner, which makes a race more playable. Other times the race is a mish mash lacking any dominant contenders – which often makes a race unplayable. It pays to know the difference between playable and non-playable races. It also pays to know whether you are getting good odds on your final selections. The ability to do the aforementioned gives you an edge on the competition – your fellow bettors.

In horse racing all bets go into a wagering pool. The house takes their cut off the top for taxes, expenses, etc. and the remaining money is paid back out to the winning bettors. To gain the edge on your competition you have to do your homework – which requires intelligent handicapping.

While it may seem a little overwhelming at first, handicapping becomes easier with time. And it is well worth investing the effort to learn how to handicap a horse race properly. Why? Because the majority of horseplayers don't do it, and since they are your competition, rather than the house, the more homework you do, the more likely you are to win.

Despite the reams of handicapping information available today both online and off, you'd be surprised how many lazies and crazies prefer to show up at the track and bet without even a remote understanding of the Daily Racing Form or handicapping. These gamblers lose consistently – and there are thousands and thousands of them. It is their money you will be taking once you learn how to handicap a horserace properly.


Below follows an overview of horse racing handicapping fundamentals which we will expand upon in future articles. You'll need to know how to read the Daily Racing Form to use many of these fundamentals, but don't worry, it’s not near as tough as you think.

Current Form

How has the horse performed recently? Has it been racing competitively or finishing up the track. Is it making its first start off a layoff or has it raced regularly?

Class

There are numerous class levels in horseracing and horses have to find their proper class level in order to win. Has the horse been performing well at today’s class level? Is it moving up or down in class?

Speed (Beyer Speed Figures)

Not to be confused with early speed and quickness, Beyer Speed Figures take into account the speed of the track surface (yes it can change daily and there are different levels of fast), the distance of a race, and to some extent a horse’s trip in a race, to come up with an accurate overall number that tells you how fast a horse ran. Beyer Speed Figures should not be used on their own to handicap a race. Why? Because everybody has access to these figures, which reduces the odds. Additionally, horses with the best figures don't always win. If that were the case everyone would win all the time simply by betting the horse with the best numbers. Beyer Speed Figures are best used in general, to separate the contenders from the non-contenders and to determine whether a horse moving up in class can be competitive at a new distance or at a higher level.

Pace and Race Setup

How fast will the early part of the race be run? How fast will the latter part of the race be run? Will one horse be able to get the lead by itself (a big advantage) or are there other horses that will battle for the lead and set the race up for a closer. Understanding and predicting how a race will set up is a major factor in handicapping that most casual players do not use.

Trainer Patterns

Not considered a fundamental handicapping skill by some, understanding trainer patterns provides you with an additional edge over many bettors. Some trainers are excellent with first time starters, others excel on the turf. Some trainers are experts with claiming horses dropping in class while others win with horses moving up in class. Some trainers are simply terrible in every category, while others may be excellent in many areas but weak in a few others. It pays to know who is good at what.

Jockeys

There are few jockeys at every track that are better than the rest. They ride harder, they ride smarter and they always give their mounts a chance to win. Many jockeys are just passengers. A good jockey cannot make a bad horse win, but a bad jockey will often get a good horse beat. You want the best jockey on a contender at a nice price. Also note that the best jockeys are not always the ones at the top of the standings (the leaders may be just getting the best mounts) – you need to watch the races to get the real story. What you really want to know is – which jockeys always give their horses a chance to win by giving them better trips than the competition.

Trips and Track Biases

Horses that experience unfavorable trips due to traffic, start trouble, a bad ride etc. can often come back to win at good odds. Additionally, horses who race against a track bias can also come back to win. For example, a speed horse that tires on a track favoring closers will generally perform much better on a speed-favoring surface. A horse that raced wide in its previous race on a track with a golden rail might perform better if it can get to the inside today.

The short comment lines in the Daily Racing Form Past Performances will often indicate a horse that has been in trouble in previous starts. For example, the comment lines might say “stumbled start” or “blocked turn” or maybe even “poor trip.” There are hundreds of possible comment lines that can give you some indication of a horse’s trip in previous races. You can also read the Daily Racing Form Result Charts to get further trip details.

The best trip handicappers watch the races in person and also study the replays looking for slight edges. Some horses that experience trouble will not come back to win – the published trouble wasn't as bad as it looked. Other trouble is completely missed.

Not only will watching the races on a daily basis and taking notes help you become a better trip handicapper, it will also show you how the track is playing. Is it favoring closers, speed horses, or playing fair. Do outside or inside posts have an advantage? As you watch more and more races you will get the feel for both trips and track biases, and your notes will point out lucrative future winners.

Additional Handicapping Factors

Once the basics have been learned, you can delve into studying pedigrees, turf racing, European shippers, advanced speed and pace handicapping, workouts, key races, online information services and systems, creating your own odds line, properly and creatively structuring your bets, and hundreds of other handicapping and betting angles that can help you spot longshots in tough races.

Horse racing handicapping is a skill worth developing. Why? Because most of your competition is too lazy to do it, and like anything else in this life, you reap what you sow.

Learning horseracing handicapping fundamentals will give you an edge on the crowd. Further honing your handicapping skills will make you a consistent winner.

So is it worth doing?

It depends on how much you like money.

Knock Knock


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