Race 1: Very open race with 6 horses in with a very good chance but my choice is 2. HIMA`S PRIDE who had a veryhampered run last time out and has run in far superior company to win from 5. A RUN TO REMEMBER who will run a much better race today and is the obvious danger.... Punters who are looking for an outsider in this race dont go beyond 9. ZANGI who can strike at this handicap.
Race 2:2. CONDE NAST is a far improved horse and the distance will not be a problem, his manner of victory for which he has only been penalised 4kg is in his favor and if all goes well however I strongly believe 5. BROTHERS IN ARMS has shown a similar sort of improvement both these horses have improved after being gelded and I was once told by a jockey who is now a trainer that when a horse shows improvement after being gelded back him till he is beaten the problem is both have shown improvement but I will give the Former an edge because he has run in superior company.1. RAPIDO GONZALES should make the race interesting if he is allowed to gallop.
Race 3: 8. OLIVIA VALERE is a fovorite here but please be very careful if you are going to back this horse... there are 2 things that this horse does which is doing her no good firstly she does not like to pass other horses and the most important thing is when she is put under preasure in the straight she changes strides in her last race she changed her strides 4 times in 300 mts which I see as a major problem...in saying that I know the trainer is smart man and if he has taken mearures to counteract this problem and if the horse hits the front only then will she run a good race.My fancey in this race is 12. ALYCIAA who seem to be a good horse from 2. WAR OF ATTRITION who if backed will run a very well .
Race 4: I Think it will pay to leave this race alone 2. AELENIA is carry 62kg in the second rund of her life,if she is good enough she can win only 2 horses look good enough to trouble her 1. SPRUCESPRINGSTIEN who carried top wieght and paced with Elusive study till the bend in a very fast run race has caught my attention and the jockey is good too from 7. GIVE ME THE MONEY who is no slouch and will make the race interesting.
Race 5: It is safe to say that the best 2 horses in the country will be racing each other today and no matter who wins none of the two will be disgraced 1. HOLDING COURT who as missed the board once in 20 starts and the great 4. SOUTHERN EMPIRE who has won 12 out of 13 races both will keep us on our toes till the last stride. SE timing if it is correct in the mock race is too good to be true 1-27.80 without even being pressured which says a lot. Holding Court who was given a very easy run earlier this season also showed that he still has a big heart and will make SE fight for every inch of pride. I would hate to tip in this race as it would be an insult to either of these 2 horses but I believe the former will create a flutter today as I have decided not to split the horses but to pick the better jockey.
Now I have also tried to see if there can be an upset here which is highly unlikly unless some un forseen mishap takes place.11. ALLEZ INDI comes into the picture on an handicap chance. In my opinion 5. MOON FOREST will run a good race and is a decent place prospect.
Race 6:This is a very bad race best left alone 1. SUAVE is my pick to win here because he is running in a weeks time in the last run he was not extended and finished on well in a higher class from 5. PRINCE OF BYERLY and 8. TURBO BABE .
Race 7: This is the toughest race of the day with all horses in with a great chance.I have decided to give 4. SHYBOY a very good chance due to current form and last run which was very good. However if you are looking at horse at higher odds of for jackpot reason dont look beyond 1. TRIBAL FANTASY as a good each way bet.
Race 8:Looks like a straight fight between 6. SIERRA and 7. DHANUSH with the latter having a slight edge, NoName and pillar of gold should follow.
Todays card is a mixed bucket of surprises please follow the market trend in the last 3 minutes.
Treble for today
HIMA`S PRIDE , CONDE NAST and WAR OF ATTRITION (if backed in the ring)
Good eachway bets
SUAVE and TRIBAL FANTASY
All the best and if for some reason I cant tip for 2morrow back Badge of Gold
Regards
Tiger
3 comments:
Hi Tiger,
Thank you very much for your detailed analyses on horses. Your comments on O Valarie had stuck in my head and i did not back her but when she hit the front i told my friend what you had said abt her and we did a mindi of 20000 and i won. I also backed some of your tips that you explaied in detail and won on springstien and holding court.
I would really like to thank you for your tips and hope people who visit this blog appreciate the selfless service you are doing to the racing community.
Now the most important thing is I own 2 horses in bangalore and am strugling in having any sucess with them can you help me with them I am happy to pay for it.
thanking you
A Fan
Hi Bubby,
I am happy to help... please note i am not doing this for money. However if you need my help figure out your horse please send me a email on kccc@arach.net.au with details of the horses and the race numbers they have been tried in I have video records and stats for the past 3 years so you will be ok. However please note I will only tell you what will suit your horse and what can be done but please dont expect anything more. Also please be honest and tell me as much details of the horses as you can i.e medical or past problems it will help me help you.
Hope I am making sense.
Regards
Tiger
Thank u for giving yr detailed analysis much before the 1st race.
I cannot tell u how valuable yr in-
depth analsis is.I feel like an amateur in front of u.Pls keep up the good work.Because of u I picked
up 4 winners - A R to Remember,O
Valerie,S Springstein, H Court.
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