Sunday, January 20, 2008

Mumbai THE HDIL INDIAN OAKS (GRADE 1)

Very tough card today and luck will play a major role between winning and losing.Take care and look for value bets.

Race 1: 5. IKARIA deserves merit but is a one paced horse hence can be beaten so it will pay to make a conservative bet.8. WESTERN CHALLENGE and 2. AGIOS NIKOLAOS are tracking well and are of unknown quantity who can upset here.

Race 2: Open race PREMIER QUEEN who will be in a different light today with blinkers drawn on the inside and no False rails and the drop in wieght are all in her favor hence is my pick to win from MAZAN who has been prepared with this race in sight and will be right there along with 4. QUEENS COURT .

Race 3: CHARDIN is running at wrong odds and is definately not worth a bet up in distance carrying 60 kgs and giving P beach 6 kgs is not looking good her trackwork is the only positive if she wins goodluck but I will go for 4. PEBBLE BEACH on handicap to win from 1. CHARDIN or 2. FLASHING FLAME

Race 4:Bad race This is a dash for cash sprint and anyone can win 7. TANTRIK deserves a small eachway bet to win from 10. STAR GIRL who is a dark horse.

Race 5: Too many first timers hence no comment

Race 6: 2. EVATINA has been prepared with this race in mind and will be right there however she has to beat 3. ADAM`S STAR who is alway a danger today with the right jockey can raise a few eyebrows.

Race 7: The Oaks this year is one of the toughest Oaks I have seen in at least 20 years the reason is simple women are never pridictable and the quality of this field is equally matched at the end of the day any of the 14 horses can win so If pick a winner here Good luck.

1. ALVARITA : alway been a contender has finished 3 lght behind B King in the bangalore derby.her staying the trip is always a question mark and along with her health problems hence it is tough to pick her but I know if she is sound she will win and if she does Good luck.

2. CITY TAMER : ran a 10 flg race start to finish and won well has improved a lot is well rested will be one of the main contenders today but I am not to sure if she is upto this class.at best can finish on board.

3. DOMINATRIX : is the contreversial horse in this set ran a brave race behind C Tamer today with the right assistance should get the better of the former and can creat a flutter

4. GOBELIN : Won the Pune dery well ran a good race in the 1000 gunise without a benifit of a run will stay all day and has a big heart will surely be involved in the finish and is my pick to be in the top 4.

5. IVANKA interesting entrant and good luck if she win but looks well held by the others

6. LIVORNO won well last time but dont think she will stay the trip prefer others

7. MATHEMATICA has been prepared with this race in mind but the distance looks beyound the compass. will be one of the main contenders but at best can fill the frame.

8. OBELINNA pacemaker

9. PENINSULA is one of the main contenders and will be right there the ouside draw is not in her favor. but will be right there make note.

10. RECOLLECTION pace maker

11. SEILLANS : will make the pace well and lead them into the straight at best but can she stay is a big ??

12. SPIRITUAL FLAME will run well but not uptothis class

13. SWEEPING SUCCESS has beaten one of the best horses in western india (Astrea) will have no problem in staying the distance and is drawn well and has one of the best jockeys going around the only negetive one of the major factors for he win the 1000g was she was the most experince horse in the field today the horses that ran behind her have 800 meteres morse to travel and have to improve by approx 6 lenghts to beat her and the way some of them have been prepared she will not have it easy today but should be in the top 4 at worst.

14. YANA : did not have the luck of the race last time was move well enough to catch the eye has been well prepared and should stay.If all goes well for her today she will be right there at the wire and is my first pick to win the Fillies Derby.

Tips: 1Yana,2 Goblin,3 S Sucess, 4 Peninsula Upset: Dominatrix

Race 8: 3. OASIS STAR and 7. AVEC PLAISIR will fight till the end and it will be a toss up I am giving 7. AVEC PLAISIR a slight edge over the favorite as I believe the distance will suit her better and the draw is ni her favor too but it will be a close call... PREMIER PERCEPTION is the dark horse who can swoop on this set

Race 9: this race has many unsound horses 1. ORIENTAL JEWEL who seems to have a problem with his legs is the favorite on his first run and its hard to back such horses and are best left alone.I am going to take a small punt on 8. VARUN who can strike anytime to win from 7. HABIT and 6. QUAOAR

Days best: Yana
Treble:Yana/P Beach/A Pasier
Horses worth a eachway bet: Mazan/Tantrick/A Star/Yana/varun

Upset of the Day: ELEMENTTO ANGEL

5 comments:

zingbaz said...

THANKS! Am a great follower of your tips & mostly depend on your logic. Thanks for your great tips especially YANA, played and won. Once again thanks and all the best. Good Luck & regards,
zingbaz

virendra saxena said...

Hello,

Great show again Mr. Irani, Yana tip was great, keep up the good show...no one tipped yana to win.Good luck

Anonymous said...

Hi Tiger,

Thanks for all the tips. They are many people who are dependent on your tips, so please keep on posting your tips. I was really wondering and dont know how to contact you when both of your blogs were unaccessable, you can see the comments of your followers on turfparrot even i have commented on it.

Regards
NYR

Anonymous said...

Tiger

I have followed you from day one what you have shared with us has helped us so plese dont stop.
there are many bloggers I follow but what you show us makes the difference between winning and losing.

regards
Jai

SCARFACE said...

wow great tip dear .... and sorry was not well so not able to see u r blog and didnt play too ..... hmmmmmmm byebye takecare Mr.Master

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