THE MCDOWELL INDIAN DERBY (GRADE 1)

Honestly if I pick a single winner today I will consider myself lucky.People who read this bolg and follow me must have understood by now that I like to think outside the square.everyone can tip favorite but I take more interest in who can beat the favorite. Todays selections will be mailny based on that principle and I hope that it works for all of us.

Race 1: 7. NEEDFORSPEED is the favorite and with no false rails today will be right in the money but its important to understand the horse is a madain and has always been taught how to lose so today is the first time he will ne taught how to win and I hope he is a good learner. My pick is 4. MODESTY who has been consistant enough to win today from 11. LATEST NEWS and 12. SARA JAHAN who will be finishing late today and has been prepared for today.

Race 2: 6. PERSONIFIED has beaten 8. CHARDIN and is on level terms again but the latter has improved a lot since then and will get the better of the former the horse to beat is 1. FANTASTIC FURY

Race 3: If P S Chauhan has figured out the right way to handle 1. WHISKEY BANDIT the race is over if not 7. URBAN WARRIOR will trouble him.

Race 4: This is sprint for the line race 7. DYNAMIC CAT has the credentials but track moments suggest that she is not a sound horse so its best to leave her alone.10. GREEN VALLEY is my pick to win from 6. CASUAL LOOK who has been very well prepared. Upset 4. LIGHTNING BOLT

Race 5: The terms of this race suits 5. BEYOND BELIEF and should be right there but I am very careful when he rides with Ramu,s horses in contention. If you are looking for an outsider back 8. SAMARKHAND as a eachway bet will be right there
Tips: 5. BEYOND BELIEF /Smanarkhand/R Snow

Race 6: 3yr 14. KIARA will play second fiddle again 15. MONOPOLY was very impressive first up and is my frist pick to win from 2. JUVENTUS who has been tracking extremly well and is worth a each way bet

Race 7: The Derby:
1. BOURBON KING : If he wins toady which he should he will break the Jinx of the first horse to win the Ramnivas Ramnaryan Trophy and the derby which I believe has not been achived by any one. I have been reading a lot on The King of can he stay of cant he I honestly believe it doesnot matter he has a Big Heart and will stay as there are not enought pace makers to trouble him or unsettle him. But can he break the Jinx and will luck be in his favr is the Big ??

2. CZAR ALEXANDER there has been a lot of speculation on his last run but I know Pesi and Malesh are smarter then what we see. His true potential was tested in the last run and since then has been tracking well and is being taught to settle early hence is a live treat and will look the king in the eye today.

3. DA VINCI Good luck

4. EARL OF WARWICK Good luck

5. HOTSTEPPER Will be the top contenders but at best can fill the frame

6. MASEEHA not here

7. MONTALVO not here

8. MOUNTAIN BEAR : He is the one horse that can never be discounted has a big heart will stay,the draw will suit him as he like t cover the leaders from the outside has been tracking to win and not to pace the race and has all in his favor today to win the derby.

9. NITROUS : has run lenghts behind the king in a mile has improved a lot since the will stay the distance and will make the pace too and in my opinion is the Upset horse if the others are caught napping or under estimate him

10. NOBLE PRINCE : lack of Experience will be the factor that will be the difference between winning and losing for this very talented horse

11. REGAL CONNECTION : he is the only out station horse that is in with a very good chance but I am not a big fan of Alford in big races but wont be surprised if he pulls it off

12. RETRIBUTION lucky winner but not again in this small break

13. VANQUISH not here

14. WESTERN COMMAND : will run a brave race today as he will love the extra distance and the mumbai straight Good luck

15. CITY TAMER : if she has recoverd well after the oaks she should run well

16. GOBELIN : was finishing on very well in the oaks if she has recovered she will be right there todays pace will suit he and if you like her chances not hesitate to make a small place bet.

17. PENINSULA was the fastest finishing in such a slow race is the best of the fillies and is the one filly can give B Chinoy a well deserved double

18. RUBY QUEEN not here

19. SWEEPING SUCCESS Best filly in this set but noy here specially with praksh.

Finally My top 5 are 1) M Bear 2) B King 3) C Alexander 4) Peninsula 5 ) NITROUS.

i AM GOING TO BACK 3 horses eachway M Bear/Nitrous/Penensula

Race 8: 11. AVEC PLAISIR doesnot belong in this class should win today from 12. LAHINCH is the only danger

Race 9: Bunch of donkeys here 1. GOLDEN ORRA is the best of the lot and should win from 12. GRACIAS SENORITA who is tracking well and the equipment change is in her favor.

Days best: W Bandit
Treble:W Bandit/Modesty/C Look

Eachway bets: Modesty/samarkhand/Juventas/A Pasier/M Bear /F Fury/G Senorita

Upset of the Day: PARIS HILTON / NATIVE STRATEGY

Good luck all and ope you have a win.