Today is a balanced card Ramu should havea treble races 1-3-6, of the Jockeys Appu is the one to follow Good luck all have a win. In my honest opinion W smiths mounts are outstanding but I am not confident on his riding hence have ignored him but all his horses can win.
Race 1: This is an avoidable race as there are a few first timers/under performers who are good types hence anything can happen.6. AVELINE is well bred and is tracking above average but not as good as others hence is avoidable.2. LEOPARDINO has a benifit of a run but looks an average horse if she wins good luck.I personally think the race is between 8. FOX HAVEN who has improved a lot since his last run has been tracking well enough to merit attention from 7. TERN ME ON who is best on track in this set and has a realistic chance to win but being first run its hard to say.
Tips: Fox Haven,Tern ME On.
Race 2: 1. REFLECTION OF GOLD should win this one from 3. RAVILEENA who looks the only danger and place prospects look certain.2. GLORIOUS PRINCESS must be a tired horse and wieght can be her undoing.
Tips: Reflection of Gold/Ravileena
Race 3: 2. ORIGINALITY is a very good horse and should account for a easy win here, however the fitness of this filly is a big ?? and no recoeded trackwork since her last run is a bit of a worry but I still think she will win.Only danger is 7. SUNNY BABA who has been blazing the track since his last run and with a strong rider can turn the tables should place by default.
Tips:2. ORIGINALITY /7. SUNNY BABA Upset: 3. DASH ON REGARDLES
Race 4: One of the toughest race of the day where anyone can win my top 3 are 1-8-10-11. 11. SUNNY CONNEXION is very well placed on handicap and has tracked well enough to be my first pick to win from 10. STAR NEWS who will be right there along with 8. SENNA . Make a note of 1. SERIOUS WARRIOR who has come down in class and is placed well in this set if the jockey can handle his nerve he will beat this field.
Tips: Sunny Connection(eachway)/Star News/Senna Upset: 1. SERIOUS WARRIOR (small E/W)
Race 5: In my opinion 7. ICEBREAKER is a very talented horse but with Mr smith talent doesnot matter avoidable good luck if he wins.the horses that will give Mr smith a run for his money are 6. IMPERIAL DREAM and 5. IVORY SNOW make note of the latter has been stripped fit since her last run benn tracking very well has big heart for a small horse.I am personally gong to go very slow in this race but will have a small bet on her.
Tip:5. IVORY SNOW (smallE/W), Imperial Dream UPSET: WAYNE SMITH
Race 6: This race should is a very tough race hence the jodi can lose here My top two picks however ridiculous can do the trick my first choice is the dickey legged 2. ATTAIN who is definately a classy horse had a very good run first up has been tracking very well and if the jockey can handle him should win from either 7. LOGANS RUN who has been prepared well enough to merit attention and 4. FLAMING LAMBORGINI who is back in form.
Tips:Attain(eachway)/Flaming Lamborgini Upset: Logans Run (small eachway)
Race 7: THE COLTS TRIAL STAKES (GRADE I)
1. FLEETING ARROW : Top contender great horse but today is his toughest test will run a great race but winning might be tough.
2. ARCHIPENKO : was beaten by the former last time how ever this horse has a big future I am of a strong opinion that he is better then the former being a big horse is being trained to run off the pace as remarked by the trainer and as evident by track movements has a tremondus turn of foot to leave them standing make note.
3. GENTLE KNIGHT : has potential but needs more distance will be used as a pacemaker that can upset.
4. MARK OF GIBRALTAR has improved a lot since last season is the best in the Ramu brigade and will be right there to trouble the best.
5. STAR OF WASHINGTON: Unbeaten in the set has a bright future and will finish in the frame but winning look a tough call.
6. KNIGHT OF WINDSOR Not here
7. KICKINGKING : will run
8. ARKTOUROS : failed last time second run after being gelded should show improvement but difficult to see it win but will be right there has clocked the best time in the set and has an upset chance .
9. SUGAR RAY : is improving with every run has the shrewdest jockey in the set but winning looks difficult.
10. PALAZZIOS SUN this horse definately has the potential but jockey ?? if mr smith wins in his earlier races then he has a slight place chance.
11. LYCIA FALCON : Good luck to the connections if he wins.
Tips:2. ARCHIPENKO /4. MARK OF GIBRALTAR Upset: 9. SUGAR RAY
Race 8: 8. MARCEGALIA in my opinion is a very talented horse par mishap should win this race from either 5. SOUND OF NATURE or 6. CELESTIAL SON . Make not of 2. ADAMANT APPROACH who can upset here.
Tips: Margegalia/Sound of nature/Celestial son Upset:2. ADAMANT APPROACH
Race 9: Very open and tricky race where the fancied runners could finish off board if on top beat to go home.I personally think the winner should come from 1- 7-4..4. ALEJANDROS always seems to dissapoint but if trackwork is a tru indicator he will be the one to beat from either 7. CIMARRON who has all the right combinations today or 1. WELCOME BACK .
Tips: Cimarron/Welcome Back Upset: 4. ALEJANDROS (small each way)
Treble: Reflection of Gold/Originality/Marcigallia
Eachway bets: TERN ME ON/ SUNNY CONNEXION / IVORY SNOW / ATTAIN / ARCHIPENKO / ADAMANT APPROACH(small)/ ALEJANDROS (small)
UPSET OF THE DAY: WAR CHILD
Good Luck all.
10 comments:
tiger although there is so much depth in your tips arent you dissapointed that you did not tip Iceburg and Western command and increased your strike rate alothough you openly stated that they will win. I do understand that you dont agree with W Smiths riding but what i cant understand why you dont tip him and are bold enouugh to tip horses ridden by Chettana etc.
Please dont take this as an negetive comment your advise has made me a lot of money but it upsets me when you waste your talent on such a unusual lapse of judgement.
BR
PC
Hi PC,
No I dont take any offence to your comments but the fact that W Smith before this weekend had 24 mounts for 1 win and the worst part was the average odds of his 24 horses is under 2.5 by putting faith in him at these average odds and a strike rate of 5 percent strike rate you can never win,However I do admit that after the weekend his strikerate is 15% but you really cant win on his mounts.In the future I will tip his horses if they have merits and see how I go.
Any feedback is good feedback what I dont appreciate is personal remarks.
Regards
hi tiger,
to emphasis i am a learner of the sport where u really excel.
u tipped ATTAIN but the horse ran with 'S'shoe. did it really matter?
Yes a Shoe does matter but not always with this particular stable it doesnot matter all the time.
A change in shoe is a definate indication of a jobber but it mainly applies to gambling stables eg Dominic/manglorkar etc
This trainer will try Alumini(A) when he is very strong on a horse or wants to give his horse the best chance.
Attain is an unsound horse it is very hard to make a gamble on him hence the shoe is not important.
The way he was ridden clearly states that he was not on Job but keep him in mind will win this season.
hi tiger,
i would like to add to your tipping on
Attain. I strongly feel that this horse is made for 1200mts and not more. would you agree on this.
Sathish,
Attain can go further but because of his legs the trainer cant take a risk as he can easily breakdown
Hi Tiger,
So far bang.summer has gone good for mediocre punters excepting rare occasions. How do u reckon with the rest races?
santanu.
Hi Santanu,
Yes I do agree the season has been unusual but it was something I expected. Before this season there were two training tracks i.e. Inner sand and Outer Sand but now with only one Training track every trainer and jockey are aware of how well other horses are doing and accordingly are placing their animals.
I have also noticed that more horses a being run up with the pace and not only fancied horses hence I dont think things will change atleast till Normal hyd,Pun and cal seasons start till then the trend is going to be pretty much the same.
Hi Tiger,
Thanks 4 ur views.can u plz keep a request of mine? can u post ur selections a bit earlier on the race day?
santanu.
That is somethin I can try Santanu but I cant promise I normally post atleat 2 hours before race time but I will try earlier.
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