Mumbai Derby 12th Apr 2009

Race 1: I think this race boils down to 4 contenders i.e 1-4-7-9 and Lone Trojan if he takes a level start. My first choice on handicap and track work is Musical Rhythm, to win from Elementto Code,.

Make note of Forest Native, today can upset.

Tips:Musical Rhythm,/Elementto Code,                                 Upset:Forest Native,

Race 2: jockey ship will decide the outcome.

Tips: Cotswold Arms,

Race 3: Flaming Ace, won very impressively last time today running the right distance should win again from Cosmopolitan,

Tips; Flaming Ace,Cosmopolitan,

Race 4: Mile will be out of the compass for Salute The Star, hence avoidable. which leaves 4 horses in serious contentions.i.e 2-5-7-8. My first pick is Caustic Finale, to win from Cabriolet, but since horses 2-7-8 has the Naredu and H Metha factor it will pay to watch which horse is backed in the ring. I personally am going to have a each way punt on Red Dragon, who has the right jockey and right distance did not have any luck in his last race and can cause a major upset here make note.

Tips: Caustic Finale,Cabriolet,                             Upset:Red Dragon,

Race 5: Western Challenge, has the credentials but has to beat Indian Summer, to prove them.

Tips:Indian Summer,

Race 6: what a joke of a race 8 horse 2-3-5-6-7-11-14-17 interlinked in naredu/shroff/H Metha syndicate if you are not sure on which horse the right money is then stay away from this race. of the rest of the runners its safe to say horses 4-12-13-16 are out due to form or jockey factors.Bella, stands tall from the rest and my first choice to win.Cameo, is the dark horse that has come to hand and can upset.

Tips: Bella, Cameo,

Race 7: Star Crowned, who was not ridden on her merits last time is a worthy favorite however if I was person who backed favorite horses I would stay away from her today, the main reason is today company has some very talented first timers and the ones that have had a run have been prepared with this race in mind too so its best to stay away. from the horses that have had a benefit of a run besides the favorite Estevez, is very impressive and my first choice to win from the favorite. From the firsttimers San Rafael, last spurt was very very good and if he can produce this run he will win and is my choice of a each way bet.Super King, looks like a speedy horse dont ignore for minor bets.

Tips:Estevez,Star Crowned,San Rafael,                       Upset:Super King,

Race 8: THE MCDOWELL SIGNATURE INDIAN DERBY

1.  ANTONIOS : Here is the Joker in the pack will stay better then stablemate, has very talanted jockey aboard in my opinion is the most underrated colt in the field finished 4 1/2 lengths behing Autonomy in the 2000G and is rated 72 as compared to 115 for auto. Was covering a lot of ground last time will stay all day and if luck is on his side he will cause a major upset.

2.  AUTONOMY : Has always done what he has been asked to do will be ridden by the best jockey in the set has been prepared with only one goal in mind. Will be in the top 4 and is the main danger to the Wonder Filly.

 3.  DANCING DYNAMITE : His is the Holding Court of this Era.. BIG HEART. I personally dont believe he can stay but I do know that when the final results will be called his name will be in it.

4.  FALCON CREST : talanted horse but not upto this set.

5.  FANTASTIC QUEST : Also Ran

6.  GO GUZZI GO : Same as Above

7.  JUVENTUS : One of the main contenders for the minor placings unlikey to eclipse his brothers image (Hotstepper) 

8.  STAR PRESENTATION : Ramus main hope, I was very impressed with his last run when he was given a easy run as it was his ( first run after being gelded ) was finishing on and today will relish the step up in distance and the long mumbai straight, Drawn 14 will suit his style of running and he will be there in the finish line past the 200 mts mark is he good enough to beat the wonder filly we can wait and see.

9.  TELSTAR : will be aprox 100-1 place

10.  ABS FABS : the most rested of all the fillies has the potential to be in the top 4 but she has been given very light preparation which is unlike the trainers style can she win 3  derbies ?? I think yes but I will leave her due to the poor trackwork

11.  ICEBREAKER: I was surprised at he performance in the oaks she dererves a second chance as she is one of the few horses that can stay the trip and if the heat does not get the better of her she will be right there.

12.  NORA : will run ahead of Flacon creast

13.  RIYASAT : will improve further from her last run only if she has recovered from it and will need a lot of luck from draw 3 as she likes to gallop from the outside.

14.  SET ALIGHT : Needs no introduction if she can handle the heat and stay the trip ?? the race is over. My Major worry is the draw which is not in her favor plus I cant understand why Malesh with no dis respect for the vetren... The big question is not wether She will win today but IF She will loose today my opinion is Yes she is beatable but it will take a monstrous effort to do so.

15.  VEERA WANG : She can sneek a Place at Long odds.

Final 5 in Order of Prefrence:

Tips: Star Presentation,(take a chance) /Autonomy,/Set Alight,/Antonios,       Upset: VEERA WANG

Race 9: Onus Probandi,  track work suggest she is ready to strike and my first choice to win from Hymns To Freedom, who is overdue for bracket. Red Cloud,is the dark horse make note.

Tips:Onus Probandi, /Hymns To Freedom,            Upset: Red Cloud,

Race 10: Alexus, is tracking well but first run as a 4yo hardly any trackwork is a worry avoidable. how ever only 2 horses can beat the favorite .Elegante, is my choice to win from Flying Spirit, who can repeat but will certainly place.

Tips: Elegante, Flying Spirit,