Thursday, February 3, 2011

Bangalore 3rd Feb 2011

Long card today take it easy looks for gambles as small time trainers will try their horses as all the focus is now on the Mumbai derby Good Luck
Race 1: Gamble race and market will decide the faith of all the runners so best to leave if not sure Flashing Crown, however is the one to watch can win should easily place even if it isnt tried.
Race 2: Sun Forever, was very impressive winner last time but he beat no one as none of the horses were interested on that day but today he has some serious contenders and thae fact tha he is running in a span of 10 days will not help the cause not worth a bet under 2-1. Adonis, is tracking very well and placed well on handicap hence should be the one to beat Six Gun Smith, is also good on track and should be right there. although from the rest many horses have merit i.e. 2-3-4-6 I personally fel if Heat Haze, takes a level jump he will win would have been my first pick but due to his gate problems I am a bit cautious make note of him at worst will place and winning is highly likely.
Tips: Adonis, Six Gun Smith, Upset: Heat Haze,(note)
Race 3: Amiable Lady, was impressive and can repeat but has to beat Refresh,
Race 4: Windsor Park, on the last spurt has come to hand and will be hard to beat note Plaka, is the obvious danger and the 2 should make the finish interesting. Make note of Sparkling Image, definatly a joker in the pack has come to hand note for an upset here as it looks very likely note.
Tips: Windsor Park, Plaka, Upset: Sparkling Image, (note)
Race 5: Bad race as too many first timers Severstahl, is the one to beat.
Race 6: Yas Marina, has run in better company and the fact that the jockey has worked Delacroix, who is a nice animal and still opted to ride her says a lot however it will be a toss up. Indian Bolt, is a very very smart galloper but the connections are big gamblers and in this company may not try him but is they do he can upset the lot should atleast place.
Race 7: Sun Control, has a good handicap advantage but I still dont think he is bred to stay running amongst outright stayers will make him justify the odds looking at the field it is likely the the pace will be slow and a sprint to the line is likely where if the favorite is not a stayer be very hard.horse 2 -3-4 are out right stayers and have experience on their side which wont do any favors to the favorite.
Tips: Spark Of Gold, Upset: Spearhead,
Race 8: Gamble race Supreme Arch, and Sweet Timer, are likely candidates however if Leon Cavallo, gets the green light he will win note.
Race 9: Very open race best left alone Senor Speedy, is my first pick.
Tips: Senor Speedy,Anna, Upset: Sky Diver,
Race 10: Spicy Star, and Give Me The Money, look the top 2 contenders however the former is drawn badly and always seems to be shy at the post so hard to be certain the latter has age and jockey against her there is a high chance that an upset is likely and the one horse that can give them cold feet is Trillion Win, note as there will be a lot of money on him today to indicate intent.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Tiger
I do not undermine your judgement but in 2 races would like to point out that in the 6th race you have selected Yas marina over Delacroix. reason being Desouza has selected the former but let me remind you that he is the retained rider for marthand singh and even though would have preferred Delacroix has to ride yas marina for above reason.
You have also selected senor speedy but looks like the horse after win in race no 66 from an impossible position has taken its toll

Tiger said...

Hi ,

Firstly I do believe that YM is better then Del, as in Race 107 Del has beaten horses that are reatd 54 and below in race 35 YM has beaten gorses that are rated 69 and above and and in the Graded races she has finished ahead of a few good animals.. I do believe she is better I am aware that SA dsousa is retained jockey but he would know the potential of his horse and advised the owners accordingly so I do give it a better chance but if you like Del I cant tell u he cant win but would suggest a cautios bet at these odds.
S Peedy did not stay over a mile and 7 flg is his pet distance I have to admit I am not very strog in that race but i do believe he will run a much improved race and the company is quite weak.

Hope it helps

Turf Wizard said...

Dear Tiger,
Very good calls for the day overall keep it up Sir.
RGDS

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