Saturday, November 19, 2011

Bangalore 19-11-11

Race 1: No Doubt, and Right On Time, should dominate the finish here as they have experience and good jockies, the second named if in the money is a better horse . The Situation, is very well bred and is tracking well can upset if the intent is there.

Tips: Right On Time,No Doubt,           Upset: The Situation,

Race 2: This can be a very tricky race and most of the runners are talented and its likely atleast 6 horses will fight for honors.horses 4-5-6-7-8-9 are the ones in question hence it will pay to look for a value bet.
Mi Amor, is one horse they all have to beat as her first run is her best and track work suggest she has improved a lot hence my first choice to beat either Saganaki, or Flying Snow, the first named is a certain place and can upset the second named will also be right there.

Tips:(Note) Mi Amor, Flying Snow,               Upset: Saganaki,

Race 3: Open race Gluteus Maximus, and Spark Of Silver, are out handicapped against Make My Day, and Star Presence, . Soberano, has merit as he is down a class and has a benifit of a run however the trainer has no merit hence I have ignored it can win but not for me.Which leaves Yas Marina,Star Presence, Nessie, and Make My Day, to fight it out. The first named is running her pet distance and runs best when fresh and should be the one to beat provided she can give wieght to the other 3 animals.the second named has finished an average of 2lgths behind the winner in the last 9 starts with one win and 6 placings considering this record she has only been penalised 7.5 kgs for the performance of her last 9 races and is clearly placed very well on handicap and if ridden on merit has a excllent chance today.Nessie, has merit as she runs well first up and has performed well in superior company however belongs to gamble trainer and best to see market trend on her can win if tried.

Tips:Star Presence,Yas Marina                Upset: Nessie,

Race 4: It will be a tragedy if At The Helm, loses at this handicap, has the best credentials and should win par mishap or intent. Mountain Of Joy, is a much improved animal since being gelded will run a good race and can upset.
Tips: At The Helm,           Upset: Mountain Of Joy,

Race 5: Very interesting race and a good finish is on the card Love Conquers All, has good merit but is ignored as the connections are more interested in gambles can win but let the market decide her faith. I personally feel the winner will come from the 3 bottom wieghts. Accurate, has good form but with blood vessel issues its difficult. Sunspirit, and Mighty Heart, have both come down a lot and are ready to strike the first named if ridden on merit will not miss the board and the second named has come down to his winning mark is tracking well and the fact that the trainer has opted to run him in a higher class and a strong rider shows intent and will run a good race.

Tips: Mighty Heart,Accurate,                      Upset: Sunspirit,

Race 6: Bad race too many gamble horses
Tips: Showers Of Luck,Blue Origin,           Upset: Youre Stunning,(note)

Race 7: the last 2 spurts of Miss Ching, suggest she will be the one to beat otherwise it is a open race and the market will be the best indicator.

Tips: Miss Ching, Monreale,               Upset: Rappadan Glory,

Days Best: At The Helm,
Win or Kaichi Prospects: At The Helm, Miss Ching,Mi Amor,
Eachway or place prospects: Mi Amor,Mighty Heart,Star Presence,Sunspirit,Mountain Of Joy,

1 comment:

ramprasad ck said...

Dear Tiger,

Where were u allthese days.we missed u a lot.Ur analysis of each race is excellent nd is on merit.It makes very interesting to read nd the rest is in the hands of racegoers to decide as per their ind fancy etc.,

Ur analysis of the race 31(18 11 11) on horse no 6 was par excellence. Special ran a swell of a race though bit unlucky to finish third lost by nose. Before race analysis is what matters.

May ur tribe increase.

Pl keep us posted with ur intelligent analysis.

rp

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