Sunday, June 24, 2012

Bangalore 24th June 2012

Very Open card will pay to go Slow and look for value.I Gotala- S Naredu combo is a deadly combination are best to avoid. Jockey M Noornabi has some good mounts today and is worth following.


Race 1: Youngsters but looks set between the 2 fancied runners. Form and trackwork tilts in the favor of Charlemagne, who has a slight edge over Rebuttal's Hope, who has come up a lot since last run.


Tips: 1) Charlemagne,


Race 2: Gamble race best to decide at race time or take a break.North Cape, runs best fresh but intent is unknown.


Tips: 9) Cowboy Cal,         Upset: 2) North Cape,


Race 3: Difficult race to decide among the 3 fancied runners.Cielo Signore, and Sebright, have had a run and should improve from it the first named is my pick from the 3 Fancied horses. Home Advantage, first run best to watch. Make note of Sukhmanee, who is also running for the first time but trackingf very well and looks in a forward condition can place here and is the likely Upset.


Tips: 2)  Cielo Signore,     Upset: 10)  Sukhmanee,


Race 4: Gamble race. 15 Runners 5 Contender and 10 Pretenders, Best to look for a value bet. Horses 1-4-6-7-8 are the contenders and the result should be among them.Blue Mala, and Surprisesucceeding, have been brought down well for a gamble in the last run both ran together and were given easy run the last suggest they are ready for a gamble and the second named has a slight edge.Rusty, has been consistent but is a very small horse and is carrying almost 62 kgs hence avoidable.Sandhurst, had a easy run first up should be in the fray is the jockey can handle him.Royal Music, is the joker in the pack only problem is the wide draw but he can upset.




Tips: 7)Surprisesucceeding, 8) Blue Mala,   Upset: Royal Music


Race 5: Diamonite, belongs to I GOTALA best to ignore carrying Top wieght and conceding wieght all round wont be easy anyway.Smart Star, has had 2 runs this season was not ridden on merit last run however his last spust suggest intent.Knowledge, has a good handicap,jockey. had a easy run first up now the positive change shows intent will be right there and can upset.


Tips: 8) Smart Star,Upset: 10) Knowledge,


Race 6: THE COLTS CHAMPIONSHIP STAKES (GR.1)


1) Borsalino,: Well bred for spped and stamina, tracking well first run but has a good jockey who is the best judge of pace will be in the thick of things if luck is on his side.
2) Cecil,: One of the main contenders who won very well first up in excellent timing, has the inform jockey will be finishing on but track work has been light so not sure if there is something wrong but will be right there.
3) Cirque Du Soleil,: Likely pacemaker who was highly thought of by his connection befor the last run best to avoid here.
4) Hachiko,: Good animal mile may be his optimum trip has the jockey who will give him a fair chance here but keep in mind there have been some equipment changes on him plus he like some galloping room and warms up late which will go against him.
5) Machiavellianism,: wont Stay has class but the wide draw and mile are not in his favor will be a good sprinter.
6) Maths Baby,: Late entry ( Owners have paid 4 lakhs fee) One of the most improved horses after being gelded. Won like a champion problem is the inside draw as the jockey is hesitant to make his move from the inside which will be his down fall. However if luck is on his side do your Maths.
7) Montpelier,: Ran a brave race first up beaten by a better animal today has a immature jockey which wont help and is best to avoid.
8) Plenipotent, : Has improved a lot since last run where he was unlucky to lose to the Moody Maple Star. Today will be the main contenders and will be right there and can give the connections a rare double.
9) Red Baron,: Beat Maximus first up but distance is his optimum and will need a lot of luck to finish in the frame.
10) Shivalik Hero, : Won with a lot of fire, has a big heart and tremendous turn of foot. Has everything in his favor today and if he has that class he will bring Malesh his first classic as a trainer but wont be easy.
11) Silver Birch, : Vastly improved after being gelded, tracking very well and won very well, Drawn 1 wont affect him as he has good initial speed Would have been my Days best if wasn't for the jockey who has recently had a fall and his mindset is a ?? I hope I am wrong and if I am he will win today.
12) Southern Opinion,: Has it in him to win here but seems to have lost interest  today with blinkers may help but hard to recommend on last run if he wins good luck.
13) Stellar Ambition,:Track work suggest he has improved after being gelded, awkwardly drawn but has a good jockey aboard  him will be the one that will bring them home and if they give think he is not a contender then he will surprise them all.
14) Super Storm, Suraj has opted for Maleshs horse which indicates his class, Has shrewd jockey and a strong rider will run a good race and i wont be surprised if he finishes in the thick of things.
15) Wrekin,: Improved animal but this is a tough set.


Finally this race is a Open Book and Luck will decide the outcome. I am not a big fan of horses running first up in classic races hence I am avoiding Borsalino,Hachiko,and Stellar Ambition, however since the last named will represent value i will have a small ew bet on him but wont hold my breath. My final 5 are Cecil,:Maths Baby,:Plenipotent, : Shivalik HeroSilver Birch, : and based on their last run Jockey and preparation my final 3 are as follows. however it is a Open race.


Tips: Cecil,Silver Birch,                      Upset: Maths Baby,


Race 7: Interesting race with the pace likely to be very fast second wind animal will have a better chance. Optimus Prime, and Bullet  have a the very good chance to take advantage of this the first named has a advantage of a run.


Tips:3) Optimus Prime                Upset: 6) Bullet,


Race 8: Tiberius,'s last run is subject to an inquiry and belongs to I GOTALA hence avoidable.No Doubt, had a easy run first up and should improve a lot from it will be the one to beat.Able Associate is one horse you cant ignore today, If there is a upset here he is the one dont Ignore as if the horse is fit he will UPset.


Tips: 9) No Doubt,                  Upset: 2) Able Associate(NOTE)

Race 9: Gamble race to end the day horses 1-3-4-6-10-12 are likely candidates and a winner should come from them. It will pay to watch the market at race time or look for value bets.Brave Cat,War Artist,Inspirator, are all tracking well.Super Star, has a to jockey but belongs to a gamble stable and its best to decide at race time.Spark Of Diablo, is the dark horse here had a easy run first up------ and if the intent is right will win. 


Tips: 10) War Artist,              Upset:3) Spark Of Diablo, (note)


Win or Kaichi Options: Charlemagne,Cielo Signore,Smart Star,Silver Birch,Optimus Prime,


Eachway or Place bets: Sukhmanee,Surprisesucceeding,Knowledge,Cecil,Maths Baby, Bullet,Able Associate(NOTE)Spark Of Diablo, (note)


Bolt from the Blue: Stellar Ambition,



3 comments:

isr said...

Thank you for nice analysis of Colts race among others. What are the reasons for ignoring GRAND SUCCESS in the 8th race. The horse is tracking well.

Anonymous said...

sir which is ur days best

Tiger said...

Hi Isr you are right I missed AA and G sucess belong to the same owner its obvious with the Equipment change Grand Sucess will be tried however I will be backing AA as I dont like to change my mind. Thanx for bringing it to my attention.

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