In my view today is a tough card but most of the winners should come from fancied runners so it would pay to watch the market and choose wisely.
Race 1: This race should be between 1-2-7-8. Looking at trach work and jockey 7. ROAD TO ROMANCE looks good but I like to stay away from horses with steel shoe(S) for Dominic.Both 1. WHISPER VALLEY and TRAFALGAR SQUARE have had good runs the former is my fancy if the Jockey can handle it to win. ASPIRING SEVEN can upset but over all a very bad race worth following flow of money here or leave it.
Tips: Wispr Valley/Road to Romance/T Squase Upset: ASPIRING SEVEN
Race 2: This is another tricky one where both the fancied runners dont have a benifit of a run hence an outsider can show improvement but the race should be within 1-2-4-6. I am inclined to fancy ROYAL CHIEF who had a very good forward run in a superior company his last spurt was very good too hence make note. KYLES OF BUTE seems to be a smart type has been tracking well enough and should be right there along with ANOTHER DESTINY. There is not much to say about the well bred FOREVER MARK who might struggle here. this another race I would prefer to stay away from watch the market.
Tips: Royal Chief(small eachway)/Kyles of Bute Upset: Another Destiny
Race 3: Another tough one UNDUE is tracking better the average has the deadly combination of Appu/S Babu who have a good strike rate but the horse is running after 5 month lay off which is the only negetive he is best left alone if he wins then Good Luck in saying that he is definately better then 6. CELESTIAL TREASURE who has beaten noone so far hence avoidable. of the others only 2 horses have a realistic chance to beat the fancied runners 5. FLY FREE how has a benifit of an easy run and since then has been conditioned very well is and can put his beat foot forward along with 7. AHIRA who ran in much better set of horses and was a unextended 6th has been stripped fit to command some respect.
Tips: 7. AHIRA (smalleachway)/Undue Upset: Fly Free
Race 4: 10. PERFECT ANALYSIS has a clear handicap advantage here has a benifit of a easy run has been tracking well and should win provided the money comes its way hovever make note of SMART N SPECIAL who was very impressive first up and can streach this set is definately worth a small eachway punt LUMINOUS GOLD should place by default.
Tips: Perfect Analysis/Smart N Special(eachway) Upset: LUMINOUS GOLD
Race 5: THE FILLIES TRIAL STAKES (GRADE I)
1. STIRRING : Not here
2. CART WHEEL good horse but this set is not her Forte
3. DORABELLA same as above
4. RIMPUCHE Outclassed
5. SHOOT A RAINBOW will have to prove her class today has the best track movements of the lot and should fight every inch of ground but at best can place.
6. ATTRACTRESS not here
7. FOUR SEASONS ??
8. ALL MY COLOURS has the best rider on board but class is questionable should make the finish interesting.
9. DESERT REALM :Blocker
10. ROYAL CONFIDENCE no confidence
11. STAR WAVE will be on of the main contenders t0 be involved in the finish has improved a lot and can pounce if the favorite slips.
12. VIOLET HONEY Blocker
13. KIARA will be a true test for a filly with the most experience will run a brave race but winning is not likely
14. SET ALIGHT she is without a doubt above this set I cant see her lose but keep this in mind she will win more races from here but today her Draw 1 is her biggest drawback. Ramu,s horses cant beat her but they will do everything to block her out at the start and if they suceed Malesh will have to work his way out of the mess at this odds the risk is too high for a punt but she should win.
15. BLOOD STREAM not here
16. SALSERA ifyou are looking for a horse that can cause a big upset then look no further she has won very well and beaten some smart horses well rested and if her stable mate fails to get up she will be right there.
Tips: Set Alight/Star Wave/Shoot A Rainbow(small eachway) Upset 16. SALSERA (small eachway)
Race 6: 9. ON A ROLL showed tremendous accleration to command respect in this race but today is running in a very classy field will have to ward off the challange on some late finishers but only 2 horses can upset her v.i.z 3. STYLISH BAY and 4. LAVA . I will be making a small eachway bet on bot.
Tips: On A Roll/Stylish Bay Upset: 4. LAVA
Rcae 7: 5. BULLISH LUCK is my first pick to beat READY TO MINGLE and 9. VOICE OF INDIA .
Todays card is not upto my liking and I am not very confident hence will have a rest day will make small eachway punts on the following.
WHISPER VALLEY /ROYAL CHIEF/ AHIRA / SMART N SPECIAL / SHOOT A RAINBOW & SALSERA / STYLISH BAY
UPSET: SIR ALMAS HAS BEEN TRACKING VERY WELL doesnot have the class but if trackwork is a indcator worth a small each way or place at long Odds.
Good Luck
4 comments:
Dear tiger
I am watching your blog almost every day and feel that you are based in mumbai can you please send me your id so i can write some thing personal to you.
My email is kccc@arach.net.au
tiger
some how u are catching one fluke a day thats nice work
rmana
This was a bad weekend at Bangalore next time when you write you are not confident about the day, I will stay off the course.
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