Sunday, January 20, 2013

Mumbai 20-1-2013

A very interesting card today expect some surprises I Sait has some well placed horses who can steal the show.

Race 1: A very open sprint and all 10 runners can win here the pace will be fast as there are some speedy animals here and best to look for a value bet or leave the race.Check Her OutIllustrious, and Encore,  are the ones that represent value. The second named is a very fast horse but has BV issues she will today be the one to catch right jockey on today.the last named looks very well prepared with this race in mind with a fast pace will suit her as she will be finishing on should go close.the first named has a fair handicap can upset.

Tips:  Illustrious, Upset Encore,

Race 2: Polynesia,Seminyak and Impressive Touch, should be in the fray. On jockey skills the last named is the one to beat.The first named is running a handicap race for the first time and should be in the fray.

Tips: Impressive Touch,Seminyak

Race 3:  First Timers so hard to say best to avoid.Phelps, should run a improved race today can upset.

Race 4: If favorite Wings Of Glory, has a big job ahead here as there are some good sprinters and the fact that he does not like the whip dims his chances.Hills And Heights,Sugar Loaf, and Visionist, all have a fair chance to win here. The last named has fitness issues so difficult to say but is fit should be the one to beat.the second and third named are very closely matched and will be a touch and go between them however the last named in my opinion is better and will be finishing on so look out.

Tips: Visionist,

Race 5: On Paper Vittoria, is better then the set but is a horse who needs a strong rider which leaves Silver Birch,Spirit Of Mercy, and the far improved Invictus, who does have blood vessel issues. the second named stands out on handicap against the first named This will be a very good race to watch but they all have to beat Spirit Of Mercy,

Tips: Spirit Of Mercy

Race 6: Avoidable race many horses rated 30 and under will not be tried adding to that you have 10 not on job jockeys  in a 19 horse field and what is worst is the form horses with decent jockeys are drawn badly in a 6flg race.Lightening Thunder, has every thing in his favor today along with the speedy Super Satin,and Binzz, who are drawn 3-4 which will work from them and a likely winner will come from them or it will be a rank outsider.Wind Craft, is the one that can upset.

Tips: Lightening Thunder,Binzz,            Upset: Wind Craft

Race 7: Similar scenario as the previous race.

Tips: Fire Falcon,Colours Flying,          Upset: Port BlairTurkana

Race 8:A wide open race Starry Eyes, had a impressive mock race seems to be a nice type and at good handicap should be the danger Mariinsky, who is a nice type and Magical Spell, Terms favor the first named but being first run will be interesting to see.Scenic Warrior, and You're The Boss, are in with a very good chance too at this handicap.The second named will improve a lot from his last run and is a very speedy horse will not go down without a fight. This race is best to avoid

Tips: You're The Boss,       Upset: Scenic Warrior

Race 9: THE INDIAN OAKS (GR.1)

1) Art Of Enchantment,:I think she will win today In her last run she was running her 3rd race in 3 weeks which got the better of her as expected but she ran a fair race.Will stay and is the one they all have to beat today.

2) Capital Attraction, : Has the potential but showed her limitation in staying the trip [ (1-53.76, 2-06.26,(12.5sec) 2-17.69,(11.40sec) 2-34.080 ( 16.4 sec)] clearly states that in the last 200 mtrs the horse had nothing left in the tank. Plus the fact that she had a hard race and is running in a span of 2 weeks which includes travelling back can take a lot out of the horse which will affect her true potential today.

3) Fond Memories,: Interesting entry will stay the trip is a nice horse but has issues as very sparingly raced will be surprised if she wins can place though.

4) Halle, Once again will stay but will need to improve a lot to place or win here. Jockey will ride her well though off the pace.

5) Maple Star, : Dont think she will stay

6) Myla Rose, Will also run will stay but not here.

7) Razeenaa, : Here is a horse that will stay no problems she is improving with every run and since the fancied runners either have doubts on staying the trip or are tired I give her a very good chance to upset here as the ones that will stay are of the same caliber as her and the jockey will make a difference 

8) Showin'off, Unlucky looser last time 800 mtrs more in distance will have to stay which I doubt

9) Simply Stylish, Won the oaks because she stayed the best but hard race and running in a span of 2 weeks with travelling will take its toll.

10) Song Dynasty, : Will stay and will run a much better race then most would expect but will need to improve a lot to spring a surprise place at best.

11) Songlark,: Same Scenario as Simply Stylish, and Capital Attraction, but is a better animal of the 3 the jockey will get the extra out of her however with all that travelling and no rest it will be hard should be in the fray but winning is a huge expectation.

12) Vijays Pride,: Good miler but never been tried in more then that which is a worry a few horses that she beat last time are better stayers and will improve and out stay her if she win here it will be on class but i don't think she is a stayer. 

The problem with this race is that the fancied runners have never been tested over a mile, The others that have a chance and can stay have done a lot of travelling in 2 weeks which leaves the rested horses that can stay with a very good chance to win and if i am right the result will reflect the same.

Tips :Art Of Enchantment,Razeenaa      Upset: Song Dynasty,



Race 10: Once again on paper Snow Blaze, looks a cut above the rest but he has not run a 5flg race for more then 2 years there are some speedy horses here and he is conceding weight to all of them will be interesting what the jockey can do about it.Matilda,Free Verse, and So True, are genuine 5 flg animals and will be in the thick of things.Talk Of The Town,  
who is linked to the favorite is carrying 46kgs today and there is a gamble looming on him today is his chance and he will be running them down 

Tips: Talk Of The Town,So True,      Upset: Matilda,


6 comments:

Ramprasad CK said...

Sir Tiger,

OAKS analysis is very apt nd interesting.For Your Information in the history of Oaks this is second time that there r no sponsors.Since inception only once it has not been sponsored and favorite won. Rest of the time non favorites have won.We have to wait for what is in store
Will history repeat?? Otherwise Sir Tigers Choice

All the best for all the racing fraternity.

Ram[prasad

.



wire said...

Hi GM,

You've said Art of Enchantment has run 3 races in 3 weeks, but I'm not able to find any such data. Please clarify.

Thanks
POS

Anonymous said...


wow , what a great day for blog followers

Tips: Illustrious, Upset Encore,
Upset: Song Dynasty,
Upset: Scenic Warrior,


thanks to Tiger

Raj said...

what a wonder ful tips tiger ji

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Raj said...

Tiger Ji plz give some good tips for tommorrow also plz

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