Sunday, October 13, 2013

Pune 13.10.2013

Race 1: A open race and can go any way, Jockey skills will matter here. 

Tips: Catharsis,                Upset: Dictator

Race 2 : Autumn RushCapri, and Habibian, should fight it out here the last named if sound will be hard to beat.

Tips: HabibianAutumn Rush,

Race 3: First And Only One, looks a nice type and is well prepared should win on debut. Make note of Mohegun Sun, who has been hiding true form for a while and should run a good race in this set he can upset or at worst place.

Tips: First And Only One,     Upset: Mohegun Sun,

Race 4: The terms of this race favor Ultrasonic, who should fight it out with Analeah,

Tips: Ultrasonic

Race 5: Savage GardenSword Of Honour, and Holy Bull, should fight for honors here. The second named is the one to beat.

Tips: Sword Of Honour,

Race 6: The terms, current form and jockey favor Star Trainer, in this set but I would give Yuville, another chance .

Tips: Yuville,Star Trainer

1) Bombardier, : A horse with a big heart always proved he has it in company. Today with the best jockey in the country an extra yard is expected will run a very good race and will keep everyone honest.
2) Cactus Cash,: lacks that class but will stay the trip very well needs to make his own pace to run everyone off their feet which is unlikely.
3) Celtic King,: Pacemaker, Not here.
4) Falcon, : Won well first up needs that extra galloping room and since the field is big will need a lot of luck to get that hence cant see him win but will run a good race.
5) Hawker, : Will stay all day, the introduction of pacemaker here will let him settle well he will be the first one in the straight and they will all have to catch him as he does have that extra. Is one of the horses that cant be taken lightly as he can kick on can upset.
6) Jeremiah, : Does not need an introduction, A nice animal with a bright future. I am not a big fan of horses running two classic in a span of 11 days and travelling too. He does have enough class to win but I am not convinced that it will be as easy as the odds suggest as there are many well prepared and well rested decent horses in this set.
7) Kallu Mama,: A very strange entry according to me, the horse has missed the derby in hydrebad and com here at the last moment doesn't make sense as to why do something like that. He does seem to have the class but no run and last spurt in hyd on the 8th suggest he has only arrived here a few days ago, he obviously has not traveled well or they would have given him a canter on this track. Will win only if he is some kind of a freak which is unlikely.
8) Majestic Reward, : A nice animal with a realistic chance, has done anything wrong and won when asked. I have noted that he had Respiratory Infection 02/10/2013, Laryngeal Abnormality 02/10/2013  which is not easy to shake off and it normally takes a few weeks for the horse to recover on that grounds It is unlikely he will perform today.
9) The Ministerian,: Like bombadiar he is improving with every run and surprising everyone he is now well rested and well prepared the fast pace and the wide draw will suit him and he will be grinding them down to the finish and can upset.
10) War Horse,: Not here or there will be a riot.
11) Circle Of Life,: The filly in the race first up and showed a lot of improvement, The connections have taken their time on her and opted to prepare her for the derby. I was of the opinion that her stablemate is better till I saw her mock race on the 22nd of Sept she ran 1800 meters in 1.51.50 on the monsoon track. Track record Monsoon Track- Yana ( 55 Kg. ) Time: 1:51.59 (05/10/2008). if the timing is correct and all is well with her I dont think she will lose.
12) Trance, : Another filly in the race who will run a very good race, The connections have opted for YS srinath to ride her carrying over wieght which clearly indicates the confidence in the connection. By a strange coincidence her dam Goblin won the pune derby in 2007 with Appu at long odds. She had a easy run first up after a spell the jockey knows how to win classics and will help the filly put her best foot forward.

On paper looks a very open race but if all goes well it will be a fillies derby.

Tips:  Circle Of Life,Trance,                   Upset: The Ministerian,

Race 8: Both Presidential, and Sheer Class, are very classy animals and it will be an interesting finish with the first named having slight edge because of a run the second named is coming back after some surgery and today race will be a good lung opener for her classic campaign in mumbai classics.

Tips: Presidential, Sheer Class,

Race 9: National Pride, and Grand March,  should fight it out in this wide open race.

Tips: National Pride, Upset Grand March


isr said...

Thanks for nice analysis of Derby.

Anonymous said...

hello mr.isr where r u from

u knw only thanks?

Anonymous said...

Whats wrong in being polite. Is the place from you are words like Thanks not used.

Anonymous said...

thanks 4 dictator

Tiger said...

Will not be posting today

Anonymous said...

please give at least two race tips

nandu said...

hi friends
try these if u like them for pune today





6.WINDMILL LADY - could be

7.i am tempted to say GEROME though i like HAIL THE KING.


-|-|-nandu .

Anonymous said...

sir ,kindly post ur selections for tomorrows races

knkumar said...

Dear GM Your views on today's card......

Knock Knock

View My Stats