Monday, October 27, 2008

Happy Diwali


Dear Friends,


I started this blog more then 2 years ago as a hobby and I believed I had something to offer. It is always hard to see what I have really achieved but good to know that I have in some way helped many people.

Lately in the past 4 weeks my performance has gone down hill for reasons I myself cant understand or figure out what is it that I am doing wrong. I have my own unique was of studying a race card and form but lately I am way off the mark.

With Great regret I have to say all good things must come to an end and for me it is the only choice left. I cant carry on something that I started to help others when I know its not anymore.

Hence to all my friends and Followers Goodbye and Good Luck. Have a Happy Diwali and a prosperous New Year and I hope everyone has success in what they want to achieve.

Best Regards for the up coming Bangalore season and Mumbai season which has been postponed till the 12th Dec.


Best Regards

Tiger


Saturday, October 25, 2008

Pune 25 Oct

Good luck for the final day of Pune hope it is fruitful for all including Myself.

Race 1: Today is the best chance for the THE RIGHT MAN to win only problem is the jockey who has not won a race for a long time at worst should place from AMBER CAT however due to the last 2 runs its hard to back her hence SECRET AGENDA is my second pick however with Hamir Singh it is worth to not that Lagad tries all his horses and the fact that he has accepted H Singh although he could have put any better jockey on top means one of 2 things end of season gift for the jockey who knows the potential of the horse or just another run I am going for the first option and am going to back him eachway as most jockeys in this set are very average. ARABIAN GUEST is the upset if he takes a level jump.

Tips: THE RIGHT MAN (Good place)/ SECRET AGENDA (eachway) Upset: ARABIAN GUEST

Race 2: As both 4 and 6 are interlinked its ard to judge which one will be tried however HIGHLAND GLORY is the better of the 2 but will pay to watch market trend. My first choice here is STAR LUXURIOUS who has been unlucky all season but has enough experience to win today. COURAGE UNDER FIRE is the dark horse.

Tips: STAR LUXURIOUS / HIGHLAND GLORY Upset: COURAGE UNDER FIRE

Race 3: ABSOLUT looks very well prepared to win this race unless Nagad goes with another horse however he has to beat the improving MR GREEDY . The dark horse here is MUBARRAS who needs and has a strong rider and can upset or place at long odds.

Tips: ABSOLUT (eachway)/ MR GREEDY Upset: MUBARRAS

Race 4: CLARION CALL is a good horse with a lot of prepwork and mock races but it is still her first run of the season hence you never know however is the one to beat but watch the market and halve your bets as you never know.the danger here is BLADE RUNNER who has all in his favor today and is my betting proposition for a eachway bet. GLOBAL SPIRIT will relish the step up in distance and is the dark horse can upset.

Tips: CLARION CALL / BLADE RUNNER (eachway) Upset: GLOBAL SPIRIT

Race 5: First run for 2yo,s best left alone however Katraks 2yos are alway in a forward condition.

Race 6: BALTHAZAAR is the false fav here will be lucky to place in this set.I personally believe the race is between 1-2-6-10. Because Lagad has 3 runners its hard to put your money on AVEC PLAISIR as you never know which horse will be tried however it will pay to include her in combinatin bets.Of 2-6-10 My first choice purely on handicap and draw is SCHUBERT who will be one to catch but I am going to put my money on ENAKSI who is worth a eachway bet and can swoop across this set if the jockey can handle it. MAJOR ROBERTS is the dark horse and can upset.

Tips: ENAKSI (eachway)/ SCHUBERT Upset: MAJOR ROBERTS

Race 7:odds of 35/100 are wrong on YANA who has done nothing wrong so far however with better assistance in the saddle has to beat COTSWOLD ARMS and RUBEN STAR who is only my second choice because I am not sure if he will stay the trip.

Tips: COTSWOLD ARMS / RUBEN STAR Avoidable: YANA

Race 8: Very tough race however DANCING GLORY is the one to beat from ALGORITHMS who is running after a long layoff however follow the flow of money. I honestly believe that there is going to be a upset in this race and horses 1-5-8-14 come into contentions. CALLING THE SHOTS is the dark horse at this handicap and is worth a eachway punt. I am personally going to back her along with ISHTAR .

Tips: DANCING GLORY / ALGORITHMS . Upset: CALLING THE SHOTS (small eachway)

Race 9: Last race of the season My first pick is RAVE ON to win from TAPIS . However the upset here is PURE FOR SURE on who I might have a small eachway punt.

Tips: RAVE ON / TAPIS Upset: PURE FOR SURE (small eachway)

Days Best: STAR LUXURIOUS

Eachway bets: SECRET AGENDA / ABSOLUT / BLADE RUNNER / ENAKSI / CALLING THE SHOTS / ISHTAR (small)/ SCHUBERT (small)

Friday, October 24, 2008

Pune 24 Oct

10 race 120 horses biggest card of the season Good Luck all.


Race 1: If The jockey can handle it JOLTEON should win again if she fails then FIRE QUEEN will be the one. Make note of KING OF THE RING has the best speed in the race if on job will be right there and can upset.
Tips: JOLTEON / FIRE QUEEN Upset: KING OF THE RING

Race 2: ELEMENTTO CODE is given the chance should taclke this set well and is my first pick to win from ARISTOCRATICAL who is running the right distance today.However I personally am going to have a eachway bet on FRENCH KISS who is running well below her class and if on job today will leave them standing.
Tips: ELEMENTTO CODE / ARISTOCRATICAL Upset: FRENCH KISS (My eachway bet)

Race 3: XIAMEN is in the best form of his life and will account for it in this set however there are a few gamble horses in this set but everyone will have to beat the former. BLAZING SPEED is the obvious danger if on job. ARABIAN PRIDE is the dark horse might find this distance sharp but can upset if asked to.
Tips: XIAMEN / BLAZING SPEED Upset: ARABIAN PRIDE

Race 4: The race is between the top 3 my first pick is IKARIA to win from TIGRESSE NOIRE who is the horse to beat.
Tips: IKARIA / TIGRESSE NOIRE

Race 5: When the faith of the fancied runners is in the hands of apprentice jockeys it hard to have any confidence hence my pick is. THE BRAVE HEART who is drawn well enough to keep the rest honest. HERE COMES THE DON is the danger and can strike if the pace is fast.

Tips: THE BRAVE HEART / HERE COMES THE DON

Race 6: Tricky race and a gamble on either 2-4-7-9 is possible hence will pay to watch market moovers.My first pick if on job is PERSIAN POWER who is hiding true form to win from CHARLIE PARKER on whom I will be having a small eachway bet today. Upset here is UPROAR who if asked can put his best foot forward.Overall a bad race hence eachway bet on any of these 3 is worth it.of the lagad horses F defensor is better unless he thinks otherwise
Tips; PERSIAN POWER (small ew)/ CHARLIE PARKER (good Place) Upset : UPROAR (small Ew)

Race 7: ROAMING FAME is first run after being gelded will have to watch and see not my cup of tea.My first choice is ALOHAMORA to win
Tips: ALOHAMORA

Race 8: SWEPT AWAY should easily tackle this set is the intentions are right. WILD TORRONAADO should easily place can upset.
Tips: SWEPT AWAY / WILD TORRONAADO

Race 9: ROYAL CROWN is my first pick to win from MOONSTORM how ever if ENZO has his galloping shoes on he can upset.
Tips: ROYAL CROWN / MOONSTORM Upset: ENZO

Race 10:This race will be a nightmare for punters and is best left alone I will be making 2 eachway bets here. CAPTAINS ZONE / JUST BLESSINGS . from the others TE QUIERO and GOLDEN KEY also have merit.
Tips: CAPTAINS ZONE / JUST BLESSINGS

Days Best: XIAMEN / ALOHAMORA / SWEPT AWAY
Good luck all and let the ring be a good indicator today.

Sunday, October 19, 2008

Pune 19 oct

Still sturgling a pick a winner hope to today or retirement is eminent.

Race 1: 60% of the horses are from the lagad clan hence hard to judge which horse will be tried FIDEL DEFENSOR in my opinion is the best of the lot however make a choice in ring FORCE OF LAW on the other hand showed a lot of improvement in her last run and has showed some zest for racing is my first choice and is worth a good eachway bet.
Tips: FORCE OF LAW (Good eachway) FIDEL DEFENSOR

Race 2: same situation here with Lagad framing the race It will pay to leave this race as HIGHLAND BOUNTY has proved to be a vey average horse and the fact that GIANNATASSIO is running after a long layoff with really no valuable trackwork to his name and the fact that Malesh has not accepted to ride him suggest its a prep run for the upcoming mumbai season.of the lagad horses FESTIVE LIGHT is the better one but overall this race is best left alone or a small place bet on KATANIA can be a safer option.

Race 3: very interesting sprint my first pick here is ALGO MAS who has the best credentials to win from ELEMENTTO ANGEL the dark horse P Perception.
Tips: ALGO MAS / ELEMENTTO ANGEL Upset: PREMIER PERCEPTION Upset: ELEMENTTO ANGEL

Race 4: DEVILITTO is runnig for the first time hence hard to comment track work does suggest he is a good horse but I am going for BLUE JAY who has done nothing wrong so far to win from GOLDEN KINGDOM . the dark horse here is RUBIDIUM can upset at long odds.
Tips: BLUE JAY (good Eachway)/ GOLDEN KINGDOM (good place) Upset: RUBIDIUM .

Race 5: It will be a tragedy to see SET ALIGHT lose in this set.

Race 6: The faith of this race is between 2-4-7. My first pick is however since the jockey of 4 and 7 are interlinked with the owners of 4 it will the question of who will be tried hence watch the market close to race time. DANCING GLORY is a very smart horse and can upset here will place by default.
Tips: BLUE MOUNTAIN / DANCING GLORY Upset: SURAJ
Race 7: Very open race but the winner should come from 1-2-5-7. HOT TALENT belongs to a gambeling owner if money comes his way he will win hence watch the market and decide PURE DEVOTION is a good horse with some problems and running after a long layoff however trackwork and jockey suggest that the horse is fit enough to land the spoils and will be in the to 3. TOMMY CARMICHAEL has been hiding true form today running amongst his caleber of horses will be the one to beat. CAN CAN is the dark horse and is well perpaerd can upset at long odds and cant be ignored.
Tips: HOT TALENT / PURE DEVOTION / TOMMY CARMICHAEL Upset: CAN CAN

Race 8: Looks to be a straigh fight between 1-2 and 6. My first pick is 6 NARA purely on handicap and the prep work however I am going to have a punt on 2 WINNING TREAT who can win when asked to.
Tips: NARA / WINNING TREAT(eachway)
Eachway bets: FORCE OF LAW /Algo Mas/ BLUE JAY / DANCING GLORY / HOT TALENT /
WINNING TREAT/Nara(small)
Days best: BLUE JAY / FORCE OF LAW
kaichi: above 2 and HOT TALENT / ALGO MAS

Saturday, October 18, 2008

Pointers for Pune 18th Oct

It is obvious I am struggling with my effort and am very low in confidence but am trying my best to get back on track and I hope I do it today.Today I think M Narredu has a 80% chance of a treble and all his horses should finish in the top 3.

Race 1: Bad race to start with as 50% of the runners belong to the lagad clan by process of elimination horses 5-6-7 and be scratched and of the rest which donkey is better then the other is a big ?? I am going for consistency rater then form as it means no value in this race hence my fist choice is LATEST NEWS who at worst will place from MYPETHONEY who has her best chance to win here in this very weak set. Make note of CAPTAINS ZONE who has done nothing so far but is for the first time running amongst his peer's his fitness is good and if you see the horses he has run with and also the fact MK Jadhav has had to un performed bolts from the blues in such races (P Zone and The Giant) this horse cant be ignored purely because of the company today and the introduction of blinkers suggest change in tactics hence is worth a each way punt.


Tips: LATEST NEWS / MYPETHONEY Upset: CAPTAINS ZONE (small each way)


Race 2: Very open race and any horse can win best left alone however the horse that has the best chance here is EXPENSIVE AFFAIR who will be suited by the amount of fast horses and wont need to hit the front which will give her the best chance from MASTER PLANNER who can spring a surprise if allowed to. Make note of SUMMIT who can upset here and should easily place.


Tips: EXPENSIVE AFFAIR / MASTER PLANNER Upset: SUMMIT (small each way )


Race 3: Of the 9 runners 5 belong to lagad once again hence its hard to judge which one will be tried I believe FOREST NATIVE will be is first preference and if so will be the right there however ARISTOCRATICAL is the one to beat. Make note of OPTIMIST can upset and should be considered in combination bets.


Tips: FOREST NATIVE (Eway)/ ARISTOCRATICAL Upset: OPTIMIST


Race 4: BOURBON QUEEN is a honest horse belonging to a honest trainer however start to finish tactics are the only reason she finishes on board as she seems to be one paced hence at this odds its hard to have a bet on her if she win good luck but i find it very un likely I have narrowed my search to 3 horses 2 because of jockeys and track work and 1 because of class. THANDA who was tracking very well this season was failed gamble due to choice of jockey and is the horse that will show a lot of improvements due to the jockey factor and will be right there. STATJFORD who looked under done earlier now looks well prepared and in my opinion is a very good horse hence my first pick. The horse I believe has the class and is totally over looked due to the jockey factor is KNIGHT OF WINDSOR only question is will he be on job and is worth a small each way chance.


Tips: STATJFORD (Good each way)/ THANDA (place certain)Upset: KNIGHT OF WINDSOR (small EW)


Race 5: Mockery of horse racing and things will get even worst if he loses as in horse racing anything can happen as the rest of the Field has nothing to lose and can spoil the pace of the favorite.The fast pace of this race will suit 2 horses SIROCO / FANTASTIC FURY either of which can place and MAYBE cause an stunning upset


Tips: RED ROMEO / FANTASTIC FURY / SIROCO


Race 6: This race is a dash for the line and my first pick ISHTAR who need one more chance to win from TOP ACTION who is the live danger to all provided naredu decides to go against N Lalwani.the upset is STELLAR AFFAIR today if she hits the front and the jockey can handle the pace will win,


Tips: ISHTAR Good each way)/ TOP ACTION Upset: STELLAR AFFAIR (small EW)


Race 7: On Paper Nitrous cant lose but 3200 meters with 59.5 kgs and W smith is a long way specially when you consider that Flashing Flame, is in receipt of 10 kgs over 16flg is a lot of weight to give which approx equates to 25 lgths however in my opinion Flashing Flame is over raced and wont stay the trip which leaves the race to a horse that will stay all day and is the only danger to the Favorite and will make the finish very interesting hence Nitrous is not worth the risk under evens.

Tips:Silver Tern Chance bet.

Upset of the day: Don't Be Silly


Friday, October 17, 2008

Mysore 18 Oct 08

Race 1: Applique a 3yo filly having her first start wide false rails with 62.5kgs is never a comfortable bet being a VB she can win but not wortha risk at these odds. My first pick is Winning Attitude who has been down in class and well prepared at this handicap can strike.Beautiful Blondie is one to look out for is a good horse whos only problem is the start if today she takes a level jump she will be right there which is likely as it is evident form a amount track moments.

Tips:Winning Attitude / Beautiful Blondie /Applique

Race 2: Senna should have no escuses today down class and running the right distance should account for a win Wolf is well rested and looks to be the only danger.Mahseer is the dark horse can place or upset.

Tips:Senna/Wolf Upset:Mahseer

Race 3: Hard to judge the race when a horse with no record runs as favorite.

Race 4:A very open race Southern Chieftan who has the class to beat this field is running after a long layoff hence my first pick is Mazeppa who is very well suited by this distance and will be a live danger to all and is wortha eachway punt from Superior Surprise and Mystic Star who is the dark horse here.

Tips:Mazeppa/Superior Surprise/Mystic Star

Race 5: Mother's Pride in my opinion is the only danger to Splendid Surprise due to handicap and will be a tough fight. Evanston is the dark horse who runs very well fresh can upset.if M Pride fails

Tips:Mother's Pride/Splendid Surprise Upset:Evanston

Race 6: Very open race and an upset cant be ruled ou my first choice is the well rested Snap Dragon who if handled well by the jockey is the one to beat.Ansonia had a good forward run too and drawn 4 can spring a surprise.On A Roll looks best of the fancied runners.

Tips:Snap Dragon/Ansonia/On A Roll

Race 7:Worth A Diamond is my first pick to win from Raging River and Stornoway

Tips:Worth A Diamond/Raging River/Stornoway

Race 8: Royal Host should win this from Buck Passer Junior, and Avacado is definately the dark horse who can upset at loon odds worth a eachway punt.

Tips:Royal Host /Buck Passer Junior, Upset Avacado

Days best:Senna

Treble:Senna/Mazeppa/Royal Host

Negetive bet:Silken Lines

Sunday, October 12, 2008

Pune tips.

Tips for Pune 11 Oct.

Race 1: Its hard say how Sentinel will perform today since its his first run after being gelding as per track movements he looks good but is hard choice to have a bet on.Alohamora is tracking well and today drawn 2 can runaway from this field however make note of the very well bred Paper King who has been tracking well and can show reversal of form.

Tips:Alohamora /Paper King

Race 2:Moonstorm has come to hand and should win hoever the dark horse is Shabdeez can place at long odds alse win is possible.

Tips:Moonstorm Upset:Shabdeez

Race 3: Very open race where Swahili who seems a nice type is running after a long break is well prepared but hard to say how it will perform after a 7 month break. of the others horses 1-2-6-7-8-9 all have a chance.I have narrowed it down to the bottom 4 fillies.Dangerous Bellewho finished very nicely and looks to have come to hand will relish the step up in distance and is a live treath to all.Inch Perfect who got robbed of a win the stewards room can make ammends today is running in a different set.Oh So Romantic would have been my prefered choice but the horse has had one spurt and been on the threadmill once since the 15th of august hence is hard to judge the fitness of the horse if she is fit she will win.Finally Splendid Monarchy is a horse that has drawn my attention for the following reasons was entered in 4 races on the weekend of which 3 races were Class VI handicap and one terms race and the connections have decided to run her in a terms race which is much tougher.You will rarely see H Daji tracking his horses that often well after all this effort there has got to be something cooking for this full sister of Hugo make note I am going to take my chances and have a eachway punt on her.

Tips:Oh So Romantic,/Dangerous Belle Upset:Splendid Monarchy(worth a punt)

Race 4: Warcraft should have no escuses today besides the wide draw however he is the one to beat.Mr Greedy and Everybody Counts will definatly give the favorite a reason to win and can upset.

Tips:Warcraft /Mr Greedy Upset:Everybody Counts

Race 5: Dancing Diva has been well prepared and rested with this event in mind and should win today from

Tips:Dancing Diva (good eachway) Upset:Escravos

Race 6: a toss up between Dancing Dynamite and Antonios latter can upset.

Race 7: Wahy manner of victory was too good last time has go a class to class penalty for the win but will still be the one to win on the other hand Sea Princess who was looking under prepared in her last run looks to have been fine tuned for this race and is my fisrt pick. Since I dont back favorites I am going to have a small eachway punt on Misschevious Trot who has beaten Wahy giving her 10 kgs and is today on level terms with her just on that merit she can upset if she is fit.

Tips:Sea Princess/ Wahy Upset:Misschevious Trot,(small eachway punt)

Race 8: I think the race is between 1-5-9. My first pick is Brad to win

Tips:Brad/Belligerent Upset:Victory Star

Saturday, October 11, 2008

PUNE 11 OCT 08

Todays Small card of 7 events has more then a open look as every single race is very compititive.

Race 1:to start the Day with a VB race is always a bad sign. In my opinion every single horse has a fair winning chance however how many of the 8 horses are on Job is another question my first choice is Princess Samerah even with I shiekh stands a very very good chance to win from the very well prepared Acceptance . In all honesty in this race there is nothing like a safe bet hence the race is best avoided.Firecracker is the youngster in the pack and if the jockey can handle him he will upset and is worth a small eachway punt as N Lagad is the only trainer that tries all his horses.

Tips:Princess Samerah /Acceptance Upset:Firecracker (small eachway Punt)

Race 2: Being a Vb race There are 5 3yos whos true potentials are still un known in my opinion 2 of the in my opinion 1-4-5-9 are all un tapped potential and should finish ahead of the rest. I am going for a outsider Winning Treat who looks to have come to hand nicely will be suited by the 7flg and can win here or at worst place at long odds from Arks Angel who belongs to an unpridictable owner. Horses 5-9 can also sspring a surprise.

Tips:Winning Treat (small eachway)/Arks Angel

Race 3: Stellar Affair will be the horse to beat today if the jockey can handle the pressure the only danger is Zarzaitine who has now come to hand and is a danger to one and all and will be the one to look out for . Snow Blind in my opinion is a false favorite who won last time when no one else seemed to be interested to is a different kettel of fish and will find it difficult to sustain here hence avoidable

Tips:Stellar Affair (eachway )/Zarzaitine, Avoid:Snow Blind

Race 4: Black Sapphire should win in this weak set if the intentions are right. Red Mesa should place

Tips:Black Sapphire (days best)

Race 5: Toughest race of the day where any horse can win luck will play a major roll here My first choice is Red Indian who has everything in his favor if the intentions are right to win from Star O'war who has been hiding true form fo a long time today drawn 3 can runaway from this set and is worth a eachway punt.Pillatus won well last time however is running in a span of 7 days plus is a horse that never runs two consistant races hence avoidable. The upst horse here is Born To Lead that cant be ignored today the connections have opted to run her in a higher as she is not a wieht carrier dont ignore and a small punt can go a long way.

Tips:Red Indian /Star O'war (eachway) Upset:Born To Lead (dont ignore small eachway)

Race 6: Babeinthewoods on jockeys judgement looks to be the one to beat from Onus Probandi who looks well perpared.I have ignored Sierra Vista due to the jockey if she wins good luck. I am personally going to take a small chance on Tapis as a eachway bet.

Tips:Babeinthewoods/Onus Probandi, Upset:Tapis (small eachway)

Race 7: Liberty Speaks is up in distance and up in wieght hence avoidable however the horse wont have a problem staying the distance,Lil Miss Sunshine won well last time but beat Jhonny Bravo, I still have my doubts on her staying the trip hence avoidable and is the false favorite. My first pick here is Equality who does belong to gambeling owner but is very well place on handicap to win watch the betting on him and decide.Mountain King, last win was very impressive and can repeat.Cavaradosi also comes into contention due to malesh's judgement. Over all a very tricky race hence I am going to eat L Miss sunshine and let the best horse win. I will be having a small eachway punt on Hishamwho can upset on basis of handicap dont ignore.

Tips:Equality(watch the market)/Mountain King/Cavaradosi Upset:Hisham(small eachway)

Good luck all

DAYS BEST: BLACK SAPPHIRE

EACHWAY BETS:Stellar Affair /Star O'war /Equality

SMALL EACHWAY BETS: Firecracker /Winning Treat /Born To Lead /Tapis/Hisham

AVOIDABLE FAVORITES:Snow Blind/ Pillatus/Sierra Vista /Lil Miss Sunshine

UPSET OF THE DAY: STUD OF GOLD

Friday, October 10, 2008

Mysore 10 Oct

Todays card can see a lot of long shots winning go slow. Overall a very complex card and watch the market in the last 5 minutes. Warren singh/A Agarwal and Md Safique have some very interesting mounts and can do well if intentions are right.

Race 1: If track movements has any merits then 12. FIREY BUSINESS has no reason to lose here from 10. GET GORGEOUS who is a live danger to all. 4. EXECUTIVE SPIRIT is the dark horse that can upset.
Tips:12. FIREY BUSINESS /10. GET GORGEOUS Upset:4. EXECUTIVE SPIRIT

Race 2: 12. DARE YOU DO should win at this handicap.1. ARTIC PRINCESS is the dark horse

Race 3: 11. SON OF FORTUNE is my first choice as a eachway bet to win from 10. SPLENDID GLORY who is ready to strike. The dark horse here is 4. GUN ROCK has a positive change in equipment and jockey and can upset.
Tips;11. SON OF FORTUNE /10. SPLENDID GLORY Upset: 4. GUN ROCK

Race 4: I think this race will be a straight fight between
1. LOCAL WARRIOR and 4. SAPTASHWA I prefer the latter to win but it will be a toss up.

Race 5: 8. TRUE CONFIDENCE looks to be the only danger to 1. ROYAL HOST who will get no favors with the wide draw and 62.5kgs

Race 6: 5. SEASONS GREETINGS looks ready to strike and if on job will be the one to beat. from DARKTAN

Race 7: AMBIENS is my first pick to beat 7. FANAA whos wide draw is the only draw back. the the dark horse is 10. SMART N SPECIAL

Race 8: BERKLEY SQUARE is the one to beat here and the only danger looks to be CARTOUCHE who has been tracking very well. Make note of
NANO BLUE as the dark horse who can upset dont ignore in jackpot.

Race 9: Open race but my first pick is DOUBLE EMERGE but the horses I think can upset at long odds are either AMELIA CORDELL or MOUNT ROYALE .

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Mysore 8 oct

Race 1: 5 GRIS RAPIDE is ready to strike today and should be considered as a good eachway bet to win from NEEL GAGAN

Tips:5 GRIS RAPIDE (good eachway)/ NEEL GAGAN

Race 2: not much to go by here due to Ramu factor and not worth wasing time however GIFTOFACHIEVEMENT is the one to watch should at worst place

Race 3: WILE WENCH if on job should win here

Race 4: ROYAL FILLY will be the horse to beat and worth aeachway punt darh horse is MAHSEER

Race 5: SUAVE is my first pick to win from CIAMPINO .

Race 6: DINESA is my first pick to win from MERCURIAL .

Race 7: ROYAL STRIDER from BOUNTIFUL BEAUTY

Race 8: SANDOKAN / SNOB VALUE

Race 9: COMMAND / FIRE ALARM can upset and should place.

Good luck all

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Review of THE NANOLI STUD PUNE DERBY (GRADE 1) (Terms, Indian Horses, 3 years old only at the time of starting.) (About) 2000 Metres.

Here is how I read the pune Derby please read with a open mind and vote on the poll.Please note this is only my opinion and not a formula of picking horses I am open to suggestion as long as no personal comments are made and I also understand that after all this I could be totally wrong but that cant change the way I look at big races.



1)Antonios, 3y bc R (56) Glory Of Dancer (GB) / Twin StarBy : Portroe (USA)Stud: Nanoli StudTrainer: S S Shah

In my opinion a very talented horse started his campagn in April and won uninterested by 5 lengths purly on class.Well rested till july when brought back on track and rushed into preparations for the THE F. D. WADIA TROPHY 1400M Race 70 on 17th Aug where a ran green and looked underdone finished just ahead of F Flame at level terms where F Flame had a benifit of a run and finished 5lths behind Devine conceding 3 kgs. on handicapping terms he was 9 lghts inferior to Devine and on level terms with F Flame.was rushed in running THE GENERAL RAJENDRASINHJI TROPHY (GRADE 3) in a span of 13 days (which is a very short span for a horse in between race 91 on 30th Aug lost D Dynamite in the Stewards room conceeding 8 kgs to him but on paper beat him by 1 3/4 lghts hence on paper D Dynamite is 8 lgths superior however since his run was in a span of 13 days and now well rested and prepared with a stronger rider (malesh) who should be riding him in the derby expect a improvement of atleast 7-10 lenghts after this race.



2) Autonomy 3y, bg Razeen (USA)/All Heart Steinbeck (USA)
Trainer:Bezan Chenoy
Breeder:Usha Stud
Owner/s:Mr. Jaydev M. Mody rep. J. M. Livestock Pvt Ltd
Rating:80

One of the best 3yos in the country and should be know as one of the unluckiest in his crop is the only horse to beat Set Alight and Red Romeo on level terms. After a 7 month layoff ran THE S. A. POONAWALLA MILLION (GR.2)TERMS - 3 years old only 1600 mts with 60 kgs and lost to F Ace by a wisker conceeding 6kg which on level terms means he is superior then F Ace by atleat 9 lenghts concedering it was his first run compared to F Ace's 3 rd run an improvement of 5-7 lenghts is expected.



3) Dancing Dynamite 3y, dkbg Glory Of Dancer (GB)/Double WishSir Bruce
Trainer:Mansoor Shah
Breeder:Nanoli Stud
Owner/s:Mr V. N. Babu
Rating:80

Should run Favorite in the derby has nothing wrong so far is probably the only horse that has run all his races well prepared which gives him a negetive chance in the derby as others have room for a lot of improvement.won the THE P. HADOW TROPHYA Handicap for Horses rated 60 TO 86 over a mile beat the under prepared Aquadizic well and was the best prepared horse in the set the beaten by Antinos on paper giving him 8 kgs over 1800 once again ran very well prepared and proved to at least be 8lengths superior then Antonios on the day. Will handle the trip well but I dont think the horse will improve any further from last run as he has been at his peak.



4) Flaming Ace 3y, chg China Visit (USA)/PrevlenceRazeen (USA)
Trainer:Karthik G
Breeder:Usha Stud
Owner/s:Dr M. A. M. Ramaswamy
Rating:73

Another horse that has reached his peak, Beat Autonomy who was running after a 7 month layoff but on level terms and with benefit of a run Autonomy looks atleast 16 lenghts Superior.



5) Rising Hero 3y, bg Storm Trooper (USA)/Naval Guardian Polish Navy
Trainer:Altamash Ahmed
Breeder:Pratap Stud
Owner/s:Mr R. S. Mehta
Rating:48

Not upto this class but will not disgrace himself in the race if you take D Dynamite as a yard stick he is only 15lths behind with room for imporvement and can finish on board.



6:Phenomenale 3y, dkbf Montjeu/ContrarianMujadil
Trainer:P Shroff
Breeder:Nanoli Stud
Owner/s:Mrs Villoo C. Poonawalla, Mr J. K. Rattonsey & Mr Hoosain S. Nensey
Rating:53

One of the most talked about horses in current time only raced twice and can improve won the september handicap in style however lack of experience can go against her chance looks highly unlikely to spring a surprise maybe mumbai but keep in mind her timing of 1-38.74 is the best of the lot.



In my opinion the top 3 horses will be the to 3 contenders. Antonios showed a improvement of 7-10 lenghts after his first run and can improve a further 7 lenghts with malesh aboard and good rest. F ace who reached his peak when beating Autonomy showed a improvment of 9lths since first run if you compare Divine as a comman horse hence Antionis can sho a improvement of 17 lengths since his first run and jockey factor which is a 6lths improvement over F ace.As explained Autonomy at derby time will be atleast 16lths better the F Ace hence 10 lenghts better then Antonios.As explained D Dynamite was 8lths superior to Antionios who can show an improvement between 7-10 lths since that last met and D Dynamite reaching his peak it is possible that Antoniois will beat D Dynamite once again on level terms. Hence Par mishap or bad luck Autonomy should not lose the derby and Antonios will follow him home with D Dynamite and PHENOMENALE.

Sunday, October 5, 2008

Pune 5 Oct

Good luck all todays card doesnot show a lot of value but that does not mean that its going to be a favorite day.

Race 1:Typical VB race but 2. SUDDEN IMPACT stands tall provided the connections try their other horses but he will have to ward off the challange of the big hearted 6. CHARGING RHINO over all i will be leaving the race as anything can happen

Tips:6. CHARGING RHINO 2. SUDDEN IMPACT

Race 2:1. SCHNELL is my first pick to win from 2. FIREFOOT

Tips:1. SCHNELL

Race 3: Any of the 6 horses have a chance here but 1-2-4 appeal the most to me.My first pick is 4. NAME FOR FAME who finished an un interested 4th first up and since has been prepared very will to win from 2. HANDSOME RETURNS who will enjoy the step up in distance. For Jackpot purposes dont ignore 1. CHIOS who can upset after the mock race against red romeo was moving very very well.

Tips:4. NAME FOR FAME / 2. HANDSOME RETURNS Upset:1. CHIOS

Race 4: Too many first timers hence avoidable however 4. SARJERAO has enough initial speed and experence to win here from 7. EXCELLENT GIFT who will be a force to recon with as blinkers will be right for her.2. EMPIRE MAKER is bred for speed can upset make note.

Tips:7. EXCELLENT GIFT 4. SARJERAO Upset:2. EMPIRE MAKER

Race 5: 1. GRUEZI is definately the horse to beat here and should break her loosing streak today.if there is a possible upset here then dont look beyond 6. TIGRESSE NOIRE who has improved a lot and besides the jockey every thing is in her favor make note.

Tips:1. GRUEZI /2. YANA Upset:6. TIGRESSE NOIRE

Race 6: this is a very interesting race but the winner should come from 2-3-4-7-8.My first pick is 7. RAGS TO RICHES who has the right jockey on board to win from 8. OPERA ROYALE however please make note both these horses belong to gambling connecions and the flow of money in the ring will be the right indicator.2. LIL MISS SUNSHINE has a fair chance however I have my doubts on staying the trip with 61kg as her breeding is not for stamina if she wins it will be class that will make the difference.4. STRIKE IT RICH is the dark horse and will enjoy the step up in distance can upset.

Tips:7. RAGS TO RICHES /8. OPERA ROYALE Upset:4. STRIKE IT RICH

Race 7: Last race of the day will be dominated by Antia specially if he has a winner earlier in the day.My first pick is 7. CARAMEL to win from stablemate 5. LIGHTNING BOLT .
8. LOVELY FEELINGS is the dark horse that can win again.

Tips:7. CARAMEL 5. LIGHTNING BOLT Upset: 8. LOVELY FEELINGS

Good bets: SCHNELL / GRUEZI

Eachway bets: AMBER CAT / CARAMEL

Win/SHP bets: CHARGING RHINO / CHIOS / TIGRESSE NOIRE

Upset of the day: STAR GIRL

Saturday, October 4, 2008

Pune 4 Oct

Race 1: On papper 2. ROCOCO is the best horse in the set but on breeding i dont believe 2400 is in the compass specially in a field of pure stayers.1. FLASHING FLAME in my opinion is over raced and out handicapped which leaves only 3 horses.3. MILES AND MORE who his gradually picking form and has the best jockey in the set is running the right distance too but its hard to predict anything on this moody horse that has either won by a distance or finished last.Hence my top to picks are 5. FIERY FORTUNE who has a clear handicap advantage and if D Singh who has lost confidence in riding can handle him will be right there with 4. SILENT PRESENCE whos only question is if he can stay and if he does he will win.
Tips:4. SILENT PRESENCE 5. FIERY FORTUNE

Race 2: 1. EXPENSIVE AFFAIR is the name that says it all will run a brave race in 5flg but there are 5 horse with equal or good initial speed which can once again see her run shy at the post.I am going for horse that run off the pace in this set as all 9 horses can win which is a rare sight in indian races.I decided to pick between 3 horses that will matter at the all important end i.e. 3-7-8. My first pick is the under performed 8. NASEEBDAR to win from the inform 3. PARIS HILTON . the dark horse here is 7. THE REBEL who won unfancied last time which is a rare occasion for R Khan horses today he looks prepared and has enough class to win if asked to.

Tips: 8. NASEEBDAR 3. PARIS HILTON Upset:7. THE REBEL

Race 3: Althoug this race looks to be amongst fancied runners they all have to beat the well prepared 2. FOREST NATIVE who with the introduction of blinkers will be there at the finish.1. YAAN should have won last time but not sure the connection will be happy with the odds. 4. SHAYARA is the surprise package and will keep them honest.

Tips:2. FOREST NATIVE /1. YAAN Upset: 4. SHAYARA

Race 4: cant understand the odds on 7. PILLATUS who is running after 10 months and only 1 recorded spurt in the past 8 months if he wins good luck.1. SPICA on the other hand is a horse that likes to come from the outsde and today drawn 1 will not help the cause with 60kgs on her back hence avoidable. I believe the winner will come from 5-6-8-9. I am going for 5. ISHTAR who is in the form of her life and can complete a brace from 9. DONT BE SILLY who has the class but has been hiding true form as most of D Surtis horses do to taking off the DNB will let the horse run freely and if he can stay he will be hard to catch.6. TOP ACTION with malesh on top will be breathing fire on the field and can upset.

Tips:5. ISHTAR /9. DONT BE SILLY Tips:6. TOP ACTION

Race 5:I think that there is going to be a upset in the October Handicap. the horses that will be there to upset are 6-7-8-10. My first pick is 6. PERSIAN POWER who is very well prepared and is smart enough to win from 8. HIGHLAND WARRIOR who has been well rested after a few forward runs does dererve merit . 10. AMERICAN IDOL is the dark horse who has all the potential to upset unless the trainer decides to go with 11. HI DOLLY which wont come as a surprise
Tips:6. PERSIAN POWER / 8. HIGHLAND WARRIOR Upset:10. AMERICAN IDOL /11. HI DOLLY

Race 6: 7. SPITZ does have a good chance her but will have to beat the moody 8. ROMAN BEAUTY . the dark horse is 9. TOMMY CARMICHAEL specially if the connections have a win earlier in the day.
Tips:8. ROMAN BEAUTY / 7. SPITZ Upset:9. TOMMY CARMICHAEL

Rave 7:1. VANTAGE in my opinion is a very talanted horse and should be able to tackle this set.
8. ARBUDH is the dark horse is Mr Smith decides to take him on a start to finish mission will run a good race and can win on hondicap make note.
Tips:1. VANTAGE Upset:8. ARBUDH

Friday, October 3, 2008

Mysore 3 Oct

Todays card is very tough look for value.

Race 1: Tough race to open the day but 3 horses seem to have been prepared with intent i.e. 4-6-9. Alothough the other horses can win here My first pick is KANGAROO PUNCH who is well prepared afater a easy run to win from SPRAWLING ELEGANCE . the dark horse here is FOUR SEASONS who is running amongst her peers today for the first time and can give a bold show.

Tips:6 KANGAROO PUNCH /4 SPRAWLING ELEGANCE Upset: FOUR SEASONS

Race 2: Bad race where consistantly inconsistant horses are running hence avoidable.My pick is SMILE AGAIN to win from GARUDA who is the dark horse.
Tips: SMILE AGAIN / GARUDA

Race 3: POTENTIAL STAR has been penalised 14.5 kgs for her last win as he true potential this a negetive for filly and is not worth a bet under 1 1/2 good luck if she wins. My first pick is GOLDEN KISS whos last run is best ignored and has a decent handicap hence can beat the favorite. CANNON RUN is the dark horse if the jockey can handle it should atleat place.
Tips: GOLDEN KISS / CANNON RUN

Race 4: PANJURY will be the one to beat from STINGER who i believe will run a good race if he can handle the draw worth a small eachway punt.

Tips: PANJURY / STINGER

Race 5:Tough race but the winner should come from 2-4-6-7-8. My first pick is SURYARATH to win from MY FRIEND PAUL who is tracking well but i dont fancy darashah horses in steel plate.the dark horse here is COPENHAGEN make note if on job will keep them honest.
Tips: SURYARATH / MY FRIEND PAUL Upset: COPENHAGEN

Race 6: CELESTIAL SON has been tracking well enought to merit attention will have a bold show.the danger here can come from the mumbai chalenger SEE THE TRUTH .the dark horse is ANSONIA who has been hiding form if given the signal can run away from the word go.
Tips: CELESTIAL SON / SEE THE TRUTH Upset: ANSONIA

Race 7: its a bit of a worry when you see only 4 runners in the cols trial stakes of the 4 only one horse has had a run here.I dont think ARCHIPENKO who is a big horse will enjoy the pace here which could be his down fall.My first pick is MARK OF GIBRALTAR to win from FANTASTIC QUEST will be a toss up.
Tips: MARK OF GIBRALTAR / FANTASTIC QUEST

Race 8: If all goes well SWIFT FIRE will be the horse to beat and is my pick to win from SWIFT FIRE from TALK OF THE DEVIL who is long over due for a win. the dark horse who has been completely overlooked is STORM REGENT who is definatly the best from the Ramu Camp.

Tips: SWIFT FIRE / TALK OF THE DEVIL Upset: STORM REGENT

Race 9: If you are on top this race is best left alone. I am going to have a small punt on ZINDABAD .

Good bets: PANJURY / CELESTIAL SON / SWIFT FIRE

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