Saturday, October 18, 2008

Pointers for Pune 18th Oct

It is obvious I am struggling with my effort and am very low in confidence but am trying my best to get back on track and I hope I do it today.Today I think M Narredu has a 80% chance of a treble and all his horses should finish in the top 3.

Race 1: Bad race to start with as 50% of the runners belong to the lagad clan by process of elimination horses 5-6-7 and be scratched and of the rest which donkey is better then the other is a big ?? I am going for consistency rater then form as it means no value in this race hence my fist choice is LATEST NEWS who at worst will place from MYPETHONEY who has her best chance to win here in this very weak set. Make note of CAPTAINS ZONE who has done nothing so far but is for the first time running amongst his peer's his fitness is good and if you see the horses he has run with and also the fact MK Jadhav has had to un performed bolts from the blues in such races (P Zone and The Giant) this horse cant be ignored purely because of the company today and the introduction of blinkers suggest change in tactics hence is worth a each way punt.


Tips: LATEST NEWS / MYPETHONEY Upset: CAPTAINS ZONE (small each way)


Race 2: Very open race and any horse can win best left alone however the horse that has the best chance here is EXPENSIVE AFFAIR who will be suited by the amount of fast horses and wont need to hit the front which will give her the best chance from MASTER PLANNER who can spring a surprise if allowed to. Make note of SUMMIT who can upset here and should easily place.


Tips: EXPENSIVE AFFAIR / MASTER PLANNER Upset: SUMMIT (small each way )


Race 3: Of the 9 runners 5 belong to lagad once again hence its hard to judge which one will be tried I believe FOREST NATIVE will be is first preference and if so will be the right there however ARISTOCRATICAL is the one to beat. Make note of OPTIMIST can upset and should be considered in combination bets.


Tips: FOREST NATIVE (Eway)/ ARISTOCRATICAL Upset: OPTIMIST


Race 4: BOURBON QUEEN is a honest horse belonging to a honest trainer however start to finish tactics are the only reason she finishes on board as she seems to be one paced hence at this odds its hard to have a bet on her if she win good luck but i find it very un likely I have narrowed my search to 3 horses 2 because of jockeys and track work and 1 because of class. THANDA who was tracking very well this season was failed gamble due to choice of jockey and is the horse that will show a lot of improvements due to the jockey factor and will be right there. STATJFORD who looked under done earlier now looks well prepared and in my opinion is a very good horse hence my first pick. The horse I believe has the class and is totally over looked due to the jockey factor is KNIGHT OF WINDSOR only question is will he be on job and is worth a small each way chance.


Tips: STATJFORD (Good each way)/ THANDA (place certain)Upset: KNIGHT OF WINDSOR (small EW)


Race 5: Mockery of horse racing and things will get even worst if he loses as in horse racing anything can happen as the rest of the Field has nothing to lose and can spoil the pace of the favorite.The fast pace of this race will suit 2 horses SIROCO / FANTASTIC FURY either of which can place and MAYBE cause an stunning upset


Tips: RED ROMEO / FANTASTIC FURY / SIROCO


Race 6: This race is a dash for the line and my first pick ISHTAR who need one more chance to win from TOP ACTION who is the live danger to all provided naredu decides to go against N Lalwani.the upset is STELLAR AFFAIR today if she hits the front and the jockey can handle the pace will win,


Tips: ISHTAR Good each way)/ TOP ACTION Upset: STELLAR AFFAIR (small EW)


Race 7: On Paper Nitrous cant lose but 3200 meters with 59.5 kgs and W smith is a long way specially when you consider that Flashing Flame, is in receipt of 10 kgs over 16flg is a lot of weight to give which approx equates to 25 lgths however in my opinion Flashing Flame is over raced and wont stay the trip which leaves the race to a horse that will stay all day and is the only danger to the Favorite and will make the finish very interesting hence Nitrous is not worth the risk under evens.

Tips:Silver Tern Chance bet.

Upset of the day: Don't Be Silly


No comments:

Knock Knock


View My Stats

Followers