Saturday, July 11, 2009

Will the Bangalore Derby be Quest for Magic or a Captivating Concept

Todays card can be a total disaster for the favorites or follower of favorites proceed with caution and enjoy the Sport of Kings Hydrebad trainers are ones to follow today in the first few races.


Race 1: On paper
Pelikano, should win... danger is Live It Up, at this handicap and if the former has not recovered since last run.

Race 2: Glory To Dancer, failed to accelerate when it mattered most last time where the initial pace was very slow which indcates the lack of stamina hence 7flg can be out of his compass today hence the race opens up to Jia Yoh Jia Yoh, and Agility, the latter who was given a easy run first up and at a decent handicap is my first pick.Make note of Kalyan, who clearly din stay the trip last time but today is running his pet distance if tried he can win dont ignore.


Race 3: I personally think there i going to be an upset in this race 2 horses in Particular have drawn my attention... Milagro, and El Paso, the former ran a brilliant race last time if given a fair chance by Gotala he can win here but I am going for the latter for the following reasons i.e the Dame of El Paso and My wife share the same name, in his last run he dint have the best of luck and was hampered for a clear run and lastly he has a tremendous turn of foot watch his last win in Hyd and decide I am making him my good bet and will also have a small eachway punt on Milargo.


Race 4: African Sky, seems to be a nice type but the choice of jockey is a surprising factor the horse should win in this weak set however halve your bets as the Draw and the jockeys ability can make you pay heavily its better to look for a value eachway or place bet hence Atahualpa, looks the candidate for place at decent odds. Make note of She's A Lady, will finish on board.


Race 5: Win Prettybaby, is in the money because of the jockey factor but filly running in a span of 8 days is worry hence avoidable if she wins good luck from the rest it looks like a open affair hence horses that come into contention are 1-3-6-7. Henry's Secret, was given a good breather earlier and today with a positive change in jockey and equipment should run a good race and my first pick to beat
Stormy River, who is my second choice only because of his behavior at the gates in last run if he takes a level jump he will win and should be considered as a eachway bet.Buck Passer Junior, is the dark horse of the pack dont ignore for minor bets or combinations.


Race 6: THE KINGFISHER DERBY BANGALORE (GR 1)
As most of us know that there are no outstanding horses so far which makes this derby the one to watch with 18 horses of which 9 horses can out smart each other and where luck and fortune will favor the brave it will be a interesting finish to say the least. In my opinion Lack of pacemakers will see a lot of horses fighting for their heads and a blanket finish can be the outcome.following are my opinions.

1 .Aboline : Althogh he is Drawn 18 today the sheer lack of speedy horses on his inside and the fach that he has decent initial speed should help him settle mid bunch he was caught napping last time but was streching out well enough to suggest he will go the distance and should turn the tables on S Star will run a brave race but winning looks a big task.

2 .Davenport : not here
3 .Ramasses : talanted horse but lacks class connections have tested his stamina last run will be in the front most of the way but can he pull it off ???
4 .Fair Option : Can stay all day will be a likely pacmaker and if the field gives him too much ground he can cause a upset but that looks highy unlikely.
5 .Star Of Marmalade : Good horse not here

6 .Savvy Concept : This is one of the most under rated horses in the field. in his first run of the season was badly hampered almost lost the jockey but still finished a good third to S Parel should have won that day went on to win the next race with ease in my opinion has the best Accleration in the home strech and can stay all day drawn 16 with suit his running pattern and if the jockey can handle the pressure you will witness the upset of the season Make note.
7 .Son Of The Soil ; Pace maker then backmarker

8 .Sprint Star : was given a fantastic ride by Malesh and out smarted the field in style however I am not convienced that he can stay but would be delighted if he pulls it off again to give the small time owners a fair Go.

9 .Classerville : looking at his prep work and mock race it was obvious the connections are going to run him off the pace but I dont think they took the draw and jockey combo into consideration. W Smith is over cautious and will have to leave home all his fears if he wants to win this one I personally would have mabe him my first choice if he had a outside draw but with draw its difficult.... Horse can win Jockey ??

10.Polish Patriot : lot of Hype.... Good horse but time will tell not here.

11.Spearhead : Cant understand the change of equipment in the big race.... Maybe recommended by the Jockey of his last run but the fact that S Narredu has opted for another horse says a lot. I believe the horse needs a longer straight and fast pace today its unlikely.

12.Al Fatha : Good Luck

13.Captivating : A talented filly whos stamina is a big ??? did well to finish 4th with the wide draw and running start to finish. Today she has the draw tah will suit her style of running and its likely she will be having a Second wind run till the home straight hence will finish in the top 4 or even win if she can stave off the Magic of the concert.

14.Mystic Quest : One of the most improved Fillies and the Full Sisiter to Nora should get this trip is drawn favoribly to get a fair shot today had a bad passage as compared to the winner but still gave a bold show if luck is on her side today it will be a Captivating Concert of Magic.

15.Astral Flash : is a good horse with a big heart but in this set and with the jockey needs a lot of luck too.

16.Jacqueline : Good filly who won purely due to the masterly Ride of Malesh had everything going for her on that day today is a different story should be at the concerned end but Winning will tough should finish on board at worst.

17.Gypsy Magic : Great Horse lost to Jacquline thanks to Mr Smith and the ridiculous ride given by him... I understand the horse has some tempramental issues and if R Hughes gives her a fair ride she will win.

18.Sans Pareil : With R Marshal aboard looks like she is destined to be a pace maker does not have a chance if she is made to do that if not then she will run a good race.

Its hard to confidently say who will win Gypsy Magic in my opinion is definately the horse to beat but hope the jockey can handle her tantrums and its likely the fillies will dominate the finish if not for the jockey Classerville would have been my first pick I have finally short listed my choices to five and am still not sure if I am making the right choice as this is the toughest race I have seen in a long time hence I will be only interested to watch this race and might have a eachway punt on 3 horses lol and hope any one of the 3 places.they are Mystic Quest,


Race 7: Oban, has run one too many brave races to she can redeem herself to win from Bourbon Bay, who will not give without a fight. Make note Silken Thomas, looks to be the best of the rest should place.

Tips: Oban, Bourbon Bay, Upset : Silken Thomas,

Race 8: Mother's Pride, looks very well prepared and my first pick to beat Star Wave, will be a toss up between the 2.
Talk Of The Devil, is woth noting is the dark horse running the right distance can upset.



Race 9: Table Mountain, is the worthy favorite however proceed with caution or take a chance on Badge Of Honor, who should place by default and if the favorite is not interested can win too.Paint Me Red, is the dark horse may place at long odds.







9 comments:

Anonymous said...

Dear Tiger.

The analysis given on the derby day are excellent.

My reading shows Table Mountain as the best and only bet of the day irrespective of the odds.

Thanks
Ravi

Anonymous said...

please put again the chat room facility sir.

Anonymous said...

Dear Tiger
Pleasing comment and choice regarding El Paso, I hope you have given stake money to your wife and had party.
I have bet 150/win and 150/Shp. Thanks

God Bless you both
Srikanth
sumangali2@hotmail.com

easwaran said...

My dear Tiger
great show today
regarding El Paso
fabulous price too,my friend.
orginal vel sporting news tipped this horse as a second choice both in selection and track reporter.
added to the i like the bottom wt horses, and i.christy in the saddle for hyderabad trainer made ,me to gamble with this horse
bangalore tote paid a liberal price for a tenner Rs 168 rs i had linked Pelikano with this horse for a double .good day with pay ment of 52 to 1
it is nice to see you picking winners at longer odds regularly
keep going buddy
i wish you abundant wellness
i wish you and your loved ones a beautiful life.
may you be blessed further
love and immense gratitude
easwaran
bbliss47@gmail.com

solar said...

Dear Tiger,

'EL Paso' a 15 to 1 long shot that was the fixed odd I got at Bombay. I celebrated my Derby day, all thanks to you for your keen racing eye. Keep up the good work,

Your ardent fan

Sorab

Prakash Gosavi said...

Dear Tiger,
That's a mighty call on El Paso. I wonder how I missed that one. Maybe I was in too much hurry over the weekend. Anyway, congrats for a great call again. Keep up the good work.

Tiger said...

Thank you everyone for your Good will sorry I could not respond earlier as I was away due to work commitments

solar said...

Dear Tiger,

Pune starts Thursday. The roar of the king of the tracks should resound on opening day. Look forward to your comments and study

God Bless

Sorab

Anonymous said...

Dear
Tiger sir
Hats off to u for ur fantastic selections keep it up & plss post for kolkatta nad pune also
thanks.

Knock Knock


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