Saturday, September 28, 2013

Pune 28.09.2013

A fairly open race day and a lot of gambles will be on  today SK Sunderji has many well placed horses here and watch the flow of money on them.


Race 1: A race where 6 very average horses are running. IbisGibran,and Adams Prince, are the best of this lot. The first two look well prepared and should dominate the first named has an edge on handicap.

Tips:  IbisGibran,

Race 2: Summer Eclipse, and Natalian Express, have both got a huge drop in class the first named looks well prepared for a gamble today and should win.

Tips: Summer Eclipse

Race 3: A bad race and best to avoid as the bigger the field there are more non triers as horses true form can be hidden. Fancied horses in such races can fail as there are too many pretenders to ruin there chances. Its best to look for good value eachway or place bets or avoid the race. Horses that represent value are Neptune's Ocean, on whom i personally feel there will be a gamble on today but being a H metha horse and rated (27) I could easily be wrong and they could be trying to get her down to VB. Best to decide at race time as a lot of money will come her way today if I am right.Captain Smart, is a speedy animal and tracking well wide draw is the problem but with only 44 kgs on his back he can keep the field honest.

Tips: Neptune's Ocean,            Upset: Captain Smart, (note)

Race 4: Interesting race here all 7 runners have a fair chance actually not sure of Charlotte Ray, who is a brought aboard an running class 2 as per terms in India, She must be a good animal as the breeders have given her to Pesi if she wins on debut which is unlikely we have a champion in the making so don't hold your breath. the pace of the race will be very fast and an interesting finish is in the making.Set To Fly, will benefit from the fast pace but no track work and negative jockey doesn't give confidence. Horses 2 -3 7 all have a fair chance here and considering the jockey and handicap Step Up, has a slight edge however dont Ignore Mighty King, who loves this track is running after a long layoff but loves this track and can upset.

Tips: Step Up,         Upset: Mighty King

Race 5: bad race best to avoid.

Tips: Mahiki,  Sheer Romance         Upset: Tykhe,

Race 6: A wide open race the Terms of this race do favor Star Trainer, and Ancient Wonder, both horses are older but will run good races today on handicap Star Trainer, will be the horse to beat today.

Tips: Star Trainer,Ancient Wonder,

Race 7:This is a wide open race dont be fooled by the odds. Presidential, seems to be a nice animal in fact he looks like the best in the Chinoy Armory. He does look well prepared and the company is weak but keep in mind this is his first run on this track and great horses have failed in their first run on this track so be aware as facts don't lie Oasis star is a classic example. Looking at the rest of the field there are 5 horses that will improve a lot from their first run at this track they are Carlton HouseJust By Chance,Morals,Ghanghorr, and Vanguard, the first and second named are well prepared and are ready to strike, The last run of the 3rd named should be discounted as she was very fractious at the start and lost interest in the race but the run before that the horse showed he has something in it. Ghanghorr, has probably run in the better company than the rest and has a very good chance to cause an upset. The last named  has the best jockey on board his first run was impressive start to finish attempt and he will improve a lot after that and will be the one to beat.

Tips: Carlton HouseJust By Chance,           Upset: Ghanghorr, (note)

Race 8: Archie,Polynesia,  and Nush, are all tracking very well and look well prepared for this race the first named is running after being gelded for the first time but track work suggest he is fit and well, their first named was given a very easy lung opener first up and now stripped fitter is the horse that they have to beat, The last named has a good handicap and jockey but has failed one too many times after overtaking the winner it is a sign that she lazes off once she overtakes the winner which is not a good sign.

Tips ; Archie, Upset: Polynesia, (note)

Race 9: Bad race best to avoid as anything can happen.

Tips: Adams SpiritSun Salutation,          Upset: Glorious Opinion

Race 10: Another open race expect a gamble in this race or an upset best to avoid as anything can happen. Nawazish, is a horse that a gamble from the so called non gambling connections is likely. The horse does have fitness issues and been lightly prepared but was galloping very well in the mock race on the 1st Sept expect a gamble on him here. Winged King, is another horse that a gamble is possible this is a weak set and he can win. Asahi, should runa good race too by default.

Tips: NawazishAsahi,                              Upset: Winged King

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hello Goli, i am a freak follower of your blog n really like the way you give explanation on gamble horses.Today i happened to visit Mr speedrating blog comments section and found Mr Rajesh observation interesting.Mr Rajesh wanted to know about horses from southern paradise stud who is sponsoring todays millions race is participating or not,he has some interesting observation which reminded me of your tipping of hemisphere,demonic n so many in previous years.Goli please give your thoughts on Mr Rajesh queries. I wanted to know why you have not mentioned or ignored these today ....3) 2 STRATEGY / 3 SMALL TREASURE5) 3 SHERLOCK HOLMES / 15 TYKHE10) 5 MONTERAY / 2 NICANORA...Awaiting your response very eagerly.....Irfan

Tiger said...

southern paradise stud is a Part of Ruia Studfarm thats all I know.

The horses mentioned

STRATEGY / 3 SMALL TREASURE have a chance the first named is better
SHERLOCK HOLMES feild too big to fancy
TYKHE Place chance can upset
MONTERAY can win

NICANORA gamble horse can win if backed

Sri Rama said...

super sir u r selections last race 11 num very very super sirrrrrrrrrr

Anonymous said...

exlent tips: w.king and c.house and star trainer

thanku
ramesh

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