Saturday, April 5, 2008

Mumbai 5 Apr

Small field means more horses will be tried look for value and watch the market...once again Look for Value.



Race 1: 4. SECRET PILGRIM has all the merit to win here but the choice of jockey has put me off she is a difficult horse to handle with ruzan today it can be another sad story a stronger rider is required on her plus there are too many comman horses running how have improved a lot since they have run together. If you still fancy her then its advisable to halve your bets. There are many contenders here and the race has a open look.Horses that will be involved in the finish will be 1-3-7.1. SAARAH has improved a lot since race 156... in terms of lenghts I whould say atleast 10 lgths... Her last run in race 226 is worth watching where it was evident that she is in peak condition and ready to strike and the distance is just right for her hence should be there at the post from 3. SOCARORO who didnot have the luck of the race against sprituall where he would have finished much closer but 1600 meter is a big?? hence is my second pick.
Tips: Saarah/Socaroro/S Pilgrim. Upset : L Trojan

Race 2: This a tough race but its best to leave 1. GAME OF POWER alone was not ridden on merits last time if he wins today it wil only complicate thing for the trainer/jockey if he winn good luck. Horses that come in contention here are 2-4-6-8. 2. RETURN OF THE KING has all the right combinations to suggest his chances but change in Shoe is a ??? hence be careful and watch betting.4. LIGHTNING BOLT and antia also has a point to prove that the horse can come from off the pace hence makes him a deadly prspect and can win place looks certain..8. ARABIAN SPEED will be right there but the long mumbai straight is not in his favor and lastly 6. AMARANZA vey nicely placed on handicap has the right jockey and looks good to beat this set only age is against him but has the heart and class to win.

Tips: Amarzana (Eachway)/L Bolt/A Speed Upset: Notable runner

Race 3: The faith of this race lies between the top but 1. RAQUEL is running at wrong odds need to be over 1-1/4 to justify a win.2. WAR OF ATTRITION in my opinion is a very good horse who needs a strong rider if the jockey declared is a strong rider the the favorite will need wings to beat the latter.

Race 4: 8. PRINCESS RUBY (Good Bet)will be hard to beat if on job dangers are4. GREAT HEART and 5. KATANIA the last named if ridden by a positive jockey can create a flutter.

Tips: P Ruby/G Heart Upset: Katania

Race 5: 4. APPRECIATE will ruin the pace of this race which will make it a very open race looking at pervious runs this horse not only is fast in the first 600 but also acclerates in the straight keeping that in mind all horses will run up with the pace and the finish can be very interesting... second wind horses have the best chance here hence my pick is 3. FLAMES OF FIRE (good each way) who is well suited by the terms and draw and the pace too... to win from
5. OYSTER GEM and 1. RIVER DANCER

Tips: Flames of Fire (Eachway)/O Gem/R Dancer.

Race 6: 2. CAVARADOSI should win but needs blinker... should win but the odds are not worth it as 1. ABSOLUTE REALITY will not make it easy for him.

Race 7: 2. TULLAMORE chances will depend on how antias horses perform earlier in the day if tried will be right there. I have a lot of time for small owners/trainers. and i believe if all goes well this race will be won by either 6. PRINCESS SAMERAH who did not have the luck of the race last time Jayantilal has done wonders withe the horse that was plodding in dalls T stable for 2 years now in this set and distance has an outstanding chance... dont worry about I Shiekh he can ride like a champion when he wants to.the second horse who has an equal chance but age is against him is 9. COLOUR OF JOY bothe these horses are worth an eachway bet.

Tips: P Sumerah(Good eachway)/C O Joy(each way) / Tullamore.

Upset : PERFECTION

Good luck all

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